29TH August 2020 – Disturbance 1 is a well-defined tropical wave located along 54W, or about 1443 miles east southeast of the British Virgin Islands. It is moving to the west near 15 mph. This tropical wave will move across the Lesser Antilles into the eastern Caribbean on Sunday. Although the wave is well defined, thunderstorms are somewhat limited in coverage and disorganized. It appears that the best chance of development will be when this disturbance pushes into the western Caribbean late next week as it approaches the Yucatan. Most models indicate a track westward across the Yucatan and into Mexico, but there is no guarantee of a westward track. There is a 30 percent chance of development over the next seven days.
Disturbance 2 is located near latitude 12 degrees north, longitude 25 degrees west or approximately 2654 miles east southeast of the British Virgin Islands. The disturbance will be rather slow to move across the eastern Atlantic through early next week. It is forecast to move to the west-northwest across the Atlantic later next week. The disturbance may develop into a tropical depression or tropical storm over the eastern and central Atlantic for the latter half of next week. It may pass to the northeast of the northern Leeward Islands in about 10 days however, conditions can change. There is a 40 percent chance of tropical development over the next seven days.
Persons should continue to monitor the disturbances especially Disturbance 1 as it has time to develop.
Persons at home and abroad are encouraged to download the DDM’s Alert app in the Apple App store or Google Play store to receive updates of any hazards affecting the Territory.
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Disclaimer: The Department of Disaster Management (DDM) is not an official Meteorological Office. The Information disseminated by the Department is gathered from a number of professional sources used or contracted by the DDM to provide such information. This information is to be used as a guide by anyone who has interest in local weather conditions. By no means can the DDM or the BVI Government be held accountable by anyone who uses this information appropriately for legal evidence or in justification of any decision which may result in the loss of finances, property or life.