August 20, 20141101Views

One of the two disturbances identified east of the Lesser Antilles on
Tuesday, has dissipated, leaving the focus on Disturbance 1.

Disturbance 1

Disturbance 1 has become a bit better organised. Presently it is
located 12.2 North, 52.5 West or approximately 470 miles east of Barbados. Satellite
imagery indicates that consolidation is starting to occur. The consolidation is
expected to be slow. Thus, it is more likely that development will occur after
48 hours.

Forecasters believe that in the next five to seven days, environmental
and oceanic conditions may be quite favourable for development. If anything
were to form during this time period, forecasters do not want to rule out a
period of quick intensification. Forecasters think that the system will be
either a strong tropical storm or a hurricane in seven days.

Regardless of this formation, forecasters expect the system to
bring heavy rainfall and possible flooding as it moves through the area late
Thursday through Friday. Wind gusts to tropical storm force are also possible.

Presently no watches or warnings have been issued for the Virgin
Islands.  However, due to the proximity
of the system, the chance of further development before it passes the Territory
and the possibility of heavy rainfall, residents are urged to monitor the
system in the event that watches or warnings are issued at short notice.

The Department of Disaster Management (DDM) will continue to
monitor the system and provide updates accordingly. Please visit the DDM’s
website at and subscribe for updates.



Disclaimer: The
Department of Disaster Management (DDM) is not an official Meteorological
Office. The Information disseminated by the Department is gathered from a
number of professional sources used or contracted by the DDM to provide such
information. This information is to be used as a guide by anyone who has
interest in local weather conditions. By no means can the DDM or the BVI
Government be held accountable by anyone who uses this information
appropriately for legal evidence or in justification of any decision which may
result in the loss of finances, property or life.