Disturbance 1 Becoming Less Organised…High Chance Of Showers For BVI Tomorrow

Disturbance 1 Becoming Less Organised…High Chance Of Showers For BVI Tomorrow

August 18, 20171860Views

At 8:00p.m. Disturbance 1, also known as Invest 92L was located about 500 miles east-northeast of the northern Leeward Islands based on NOAA’s National Hurricane Centre update.  The update said showers and thunderstorms associated with the area of disturbed weather have become less organized since yesterday due to strong upper-level winds, and satellite data suggest that the surface circulation has become less defined.  Environmental conditions are expected to be only marginally conducive for development during the next couple of days while this system moves

West-northwestward at about 20 mph, and the chances for tropical cyclone formation appear to be decreasing.

This disturbance is expected to be near the northern Leeward Islands tomorrow night.

Meantime, the atmosphere across the BVI, as reported by the Antigua and Barbuda Meteorological Services, is moist and slightly unstable. It will therefore aid in cloudiness and showers over the next twenty four hours.

Skies tonight will be cloudy at times with a 60% (medium chance) of showers. Tomorrow will see cloudy spells with a 70% (high chance) of showers.

Winds: East northeast to East at 12-20 knots.

Seas: Locally rough with heights 2.1m/7ft. Therefore, the small craft advisory remains in effect.

The DDM will continue to monitor these weather systems and provide updates when they become available.

Please continue to monitor local media stations, DDM’s website ( and Facebook at BVIDDM for regular updates.

Disclaimer: The Department of Disaster Management (DDM) is not an official Meteorological Office. The Information disseminated by the Department is gathered from a number of professional sources used or contracted by the DDM to provide such information. This information is to be used as a guide by anyone who has interest in local weather conditions. By no means can the DDM or the BVI Government be held accountable by anyone who uses this information appropriately for legal evidence or in justification of any decision which may result in the loss of finances, property or life.

August 18, 2017

Image Credit: NOAA