July 29, 20051492Views

Current Location: 9.5N,

Geographic Reference: 1325 miles
east-southeast of Barbados

Movement: West at 16

Peak Forecast Radius of Tropical
Storm Force Winds: 
90 miles


Although the wind structure of
Disturbance 1 remains fairly well-defined, the showers and thunderstorms have
diminished over the past 6 to 12 hours. Dry air has been overwhelming the
showers and thunderstorms that are trying to develop. The dry air is expected
to continue interacting with Disturbance 1 for at least the next 24 hours and
possibly longer. This will limit intensification.

Forecasters have not made any large changes to the track for the
first 5 days, but have extended the track farther west in 6 to 7 days. This
will likely be rather inconsequential since forecasters think the system will
be weakening to a tropical depression or tropical wave as it approaches the
eastern Bahamas.

Expected Impacts Onshore

Lesser Antilles north of 14N
Squalls with sustained winds to the lower limits of tropical storm
force are likely within 80 miles to the north of the center Friday night and
Saturday. These winds may cause scattered power outages. Minor flooding from
excessive rainfall is possible.

Virgin Islands: On
Saturday night and Sunday, squalls with gusts to tropical storm force are
possible, especially if the system moves slightly to the south of our forecast.


Residents are reminded that we
are in the 2014 Atlantic Hurricane Season and all preparations should be made
in the event the territory is affected by a Tropical Cyclone. The Department of
Disaster Management (DDM) will continue to monitor Disturbance 1 and provide
updates accordingly. Please visit the DDM’s website at and
subscribe for updates.


Disclaimer: The
Department of Disaster Management (DDM) is not an official Meteorological
Office. The Information disseminated by the Department is gathered from a
number of professional sources used or contracted by the DDM to provide such
information. This information is to be used as a guide by anyone who has
interest in local weather conditions. By no means can the DDM or the BVI
Government be held accountable by anyone who uses this information
appropriately for legal evidence or in justification of any decision which may
result in the loss of finances, property or life.