Current Location: 9.8N,
Geographic Reference: 1700 miles
east of Barbados
Movement: West at 15
Peak Forecast Radius of Tropical
Storm Force Winds: 70 miles
No significant forecast changes.
Disturbance 1 continues to become
better organized and could become a depression at any time over the next 48
hours. Most of the data and model guidance indicate a continued westward to
west-northwest motion toward the Lesser Antilles over the next 4 to 6 days with
perhaps a turn towards the northwest in 5 to 7 days. Forecasters will not rule
out the possibility of it reaching hurricane strength before moving through or
near the Leeward Islands on Saturday, but forecasters still think it will be a
moderate to strong tropical storm at that time. The system is expected to pass
north of Puerto Rico over the weekend.
.Expected Impacts Onshore
Lesser Antilles north of 14N
latitude: Squalls with wind gusts to tropical storm force are likely on
.Residents are reminded that we
are in the 2014 Atlantic Hurricane Season and all preparations should have been
made in the event the territory was to be affected by a Tropical Cyclone. The
Department of Disaster Management (DDM) will continue to monitor Disturbance 1
and provide updates accordingly. Please visit the DDM’s website at www.bviddm.com
and subscribe for updates.
Department of Disaster Management (DDM) is not an official Meteorological
Office. The Information disseminated by the Department is gathered from a
number of professional sources used or contracted by the DDM to provide such
information. This information is to be used as a guide by anyone who has
interest in local weather conditions. By no means can the DDM or the BVI
Government be held accountable by anyone who uses this information
appropriately for legal evidence or in justification of any decision which may
result in the loss of finances, property or life.