September 8, 20191206Views

8th September 2019 –  Disturbance 1 is currently located along 36W which is approximately 1600 miles from the BVI and is tracking towards the west at around 15 mph. Thunderstorms have increased with the disturbance over the past 24 hours. However, it remains poorly organized. Conditions look to become more favorable for development by early next week as the disturbance continues to track towards the west. The chance of tropical development over the next week is 40 percent. Although Forecasters have reduced the chance of development in this forecast it is important note that these systems have the potential to change track and develop in a short period of time.

For this reason residents and visitors should continue to monitor its progress and be prepared for any sudden changes. The system still has chance of affecting the Lesser Antilles.

The disturbance if it were to develop would become Tropical Storm Humberto making it the eight tropical storm of the Atlantic hurricane season.

Disturbance 2 is located a few hundred miles to the north of the northern Leeward Islands. It is moving to the west-northwest at 9 mph. Conditions could become marginally favorable for some tropical development next week as the system tracks towards the west-northwest. The chance of development over the next week is estimated near 20 percent.

Persons at home and abroad are encouraged to download the DDM’s Alert app in the Apple App store or Google Play store to receive updates of any hazards affecting the Territory.

You can also visit the DDM’s webpage at and subscribe for updates or like us on Facebook at

Disclaimer: The Department of Disaster Management (DDM) is not an official Meteorological Office. The Information disseminated by the Department is gathered from a number of professional sources used or contracted by the DDM to provide such information. This information is to be used as a guide by anyone who has interest in local weather conditions. By no means can the DDM or the BVI Government be held accountable by anyone who uses this information appropriately for legal evidence or in justification of any decision which may result in the loss of finances, property or life.