PLEASE NOTE: The yellow cone represents the area of uncertainty and not the wind field of the disturbance.
Current Position: 5.1N / 34.0W
Geographic Reference: 1890 miles ESE of Trinidad
Movement: West at 15 mph
Disturbance 1 has become better organized in the Atlantic. Forecasters have increased the chance of development from 40 to 60 percent over the next 3-4 days. Disturbance 1 will slowly become better organized and could become a tropical depression by Sunday. It may strengthen to a tropical storm before reaching Trinidad late Monday into Tuesday morning. The wind radii of this system are expected to contract as it develops. This will cause any tropical storm force winds to be restricted to a small area up to 60 miles to the north of the centre. Tropical storm force winds may affect northern Trinidad and Tobago late Monday into Tuesday.
The Disturbance is not a threat to the Virgin Islands however residents are encouraged to make preparations for the 2017 season as tropical systems exiting the African Coast will increase as the season progresses. The Department of Disaster Management (DDM) will continue to monitor this system and will only post updates if there is significant change.
Please visit the DDM website at www.bviddm.com and subscribe for updates or join us on facebook at www.facebook.com/bvi.ddm/