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DISTURBANCE 1 UPDATE

by bviddm
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Current Location: 11.3N,
49.7W

Geographic Reference: 670 miles
east-southeast of Barbados

Movement: West to
west-northwest at 19 mph

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Forecast

Thunderstorms have increased near
the eastern side of the low level center over the past few hours. Forecasters
believe this will be temporary as dry air is being entrained into the centre,
resulting in the thunderstorms near the centre diminishing over the next few
hours. Forecasters expect little change in intensity over the next few. Forecasters
do not want to rule out some strengthening, however they feel it will likely
stay below tropical storm strength. Once it passes the northern Leeward Islands
on Saturday morning, a weakening trend is expected.

Expected Impacts Onshore

Lesser Antilles north of 14N
latitude: 
Squalls with gusts to tropical storm force are possible Friday
night and Saturday. Significant impacts are becoming less likely. Rains may be
enough to cause a few areas of minor flooding, but the heavy rain risk appears
to be decreasing as well.

Virgin Islands: On Saturday
night and Sunday, squalls with gusts to tropical storm force are possible.

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