12th September 2019 – Disturbance 1 is currently located over the southern Bahamas. A slow track towards the northwest is expected over the next few days while gradually strengthening. Forecasters latest forecast has the system making landfall in southeastern Florida on Saturday afternoon as a weak tropical storm with winds of 40 mph. The chance of tropical development is 70 percent.
Disturbance 2 is located along 30W and is moving towards the west at around 15 mph. The system currently has some rotation and disorganized thunderstorm activity associated with it. A continued westward motion is expected over the next several days. By Monday, the disturbance will likely be near the Lesser Antilles. Conditions are forecast to become more favorable for development by early next week. The chance of tropical development has increased to 40 percent. Residents are encouraged to continue monitoring the disturbance as forecasters have also indicated it may be a tropical depression before reaching the Lesser Antilles.
Tropical Wave (formerly Disturbance 2 based on NHC numbering system) is along 55W and is moving towards the west-northwest at around 10 mph. The system continues to weaken, and forecasters think it will likely dissipate by this weekend over the northeastern Caribbean Sea. No tropical development is expected at this time however as it gets closer the northeast it has the possibility producing unstable weather conditions for the British Virgin Islands over the weekend.
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Disclaimer: The Department of Disaster Management (DDM) is not an official Meteorological Office. The Information disseminated by the Department is gathered from a number of professional sources used or contracted by the DDM to provide such information. This information is to be used as a guide by anyone who has interest in local weather conditions. By no means can the DDM or the BVI Government be held accountable by anyone who uses this information appropriately for legal evidence or in justification of any decision which may result in the loss of finances, property or life.