4th October 2010 10AM – Over the weekend the Virgin Islands experienced scattered showers and thunderstorms throughout the Territory. Initial forecasts predicted that the Territory would see an increase in shower activity to the point where flooding would be possible. At that time the DDM was tracking two disturbances, TD56 and TD57. TD56, on its initial approach, was slated to affect the Territory more significantly, however as the system approached our area, it lost forward speed and shifted to a more west north-westerly track to a more westerly track. This took TD56 south of the area resulting in many of the intense thunderstorms occurring over sea.
The second Disturbance TD57, is still very active. As of 11AM Tropical Disturbance 57 was located in the northeastern Caribbean Sea near 17.7N/64.5W. The associated thunderstorms remain well east of our area, mainly over the eastern Caribbean Sea and Lesser Antilles. There has been little change in organization since yesterday.
Strong storms will continue to affect the eastern Caribbean and Lesser Antilles over the next day or two. The system is then forecast to shift to the west-northwest across the Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico. Heavy rainfall and gusty winds will continue to be a threat for the Virgin Islands and Lesser Antilles. As a result the Virgin Islands remain under flash flood watch.
The public is again reminded that we are in the peak of the 2010 Atlantic Hurricane Season. Persons in flood prone areas are to be on high alert at all times. Having an evacuation plan and knowing where the shelters are is encouraged. Personal belongings should be secured on upper shelves in homes that are in flood prone areas. Persons are also reminded not to engage in activities that may block the natural waterways.
DDM will continue to monitor this system and provide releases as necessary. Please visit the Department of Disaster Management’s website at www.bviddm.com for continuously updated information.