LOCATION: 15.6 degrees North, 54.1 degrees West
DISTANCE: ABOUT 701 MILES EAST SOUTH EAST OF THE BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS
MOVEMENT: WEST NEAR 14 MPH
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS: 65 MPH
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE: 997 MB
Danny has officially been downgraded to a tropical storm by the National Hurricane Centre.
Tropical Storm Danny has been rapidly deteriorating on satellite imagery over the past 6 hours and currently maximum sustained winds are 65 mph. It is likely that Danny will weaken more quickly than previous forecast indicated. Danny will likely only be a weak tropical storm (at most) when it reaches the Leeward Islands.
At 8:00 p.m., the centre of Hurricane Danny was located near latitude 15.6 degrees north, longitude 54.1 degrees west. Danny is moving toward the west near 14 miles per hour (mph). This general motion is expected through Monday.
Maximum sustained winds remain near 65 mph with higher gusts. Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 60 miles. Additional weakening is forecast during the next 48 hours.
The estimated minimum central pressure is 997 mb.
Expected Impacts on Land
On its present track, Hurricane Danny is expected to be near or over the British Virgin Islands late Monday and could impact the Territory with sustained winds of around 35 -45 mph. Peak gusts of around 60 mph are possible.
Large battering waves are expected during the passage of Hurricane Danny. Seas will peak near 12 feet. Mariners will need to seek safe anchorage for their vessels.
Rainfall
The first squalls are likely to reach the area on Monday afternoon. General rainfall amounts of 3 to 6 inches are expected through Tuesday afternoon. Higher amounts are likely in the mountains. The Antigua Meteorological Service advises that moderate flooding could occur and a flood watch or warning may be required for Monday.
Some landslides are possible. Road conditions could deteriorate and motorists should exercise caution.
Storm Surge
A tidal surge of 1 to 3 feet is possible along the coast accompanied by large waves. Some beach erosion is likely.
Residents of the British Virgin Islands are advised to monitor the system as it progresses and keep abreast of updates issued by the Department of Disaster Management.
Visit the DDM website at www.bviddm.com and subscribe for updates, visit our Facebook page at www.facebook.com/bvi.ddm or follow us on Twitter at www.twitter.com/BVIDDM.
Disclaimer: The Department of Disaster Management (DDM) is not an official Meteorological Office. The Information disseminated by the Department is gathered from a number of professional sources used or contracted by the DDM to provide such information. This information is to be used as a guide by anyone who has interest in local weather conditions. By no means can the DDM or the BVI Government be held accountable by anyone who uses this information appropriately for legal evidence or in justification of any decision which may result in the loss of finances, property or life.
