LOCATION: 14.5 degrees north, 49.1 degrees west
DISTANCE: ABOUT 1043 MILES SOUTH EAST OF THE BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS
MOVEMENT: WEST-NORTH WEST, NEAR 10 MPH
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS: 115 MPH
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE: 974 MB
At 5:00 P.M., the centre of Hurricane Danny was located near latitude 14.5 degrees north, longitude 49.1 degrees west or about 1043 miles southeast of the British Virgin Islands. Danny is moving toward the west-northwest near 10 miles per hour (mph). A turn toward the west is expected on Saturday
Maximum sustained winds remain near115 mph with higher gusts. Danny remains a compact hurricane. Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 15 miles while tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 60 miles from the centre.
The estimated minimum central pressure is 974 mb.
Hurricane Danny remains classified as a Category 3 hurricane but is beginning to show some sign of weakening.
Data from aircraft reconnaissance indicate that maximum sustained winds were near 115 mph three to four hours ago. Since that time, Danny’s eye has disappeared from satellite imagery. Since other data indicate that Danny should be reaching the area of higher wind shear right about now, forecasters think that Danny has already begun to weaken.
Continued weakening is expected over the next several days however Danny is expected to be a strong tropical storm when it moves through the Leeward Islands early Monday.
Expected Impacts on Land for the Virgin Islands
Tropical Storm conditions are expected late Monday night through Tuesday morning. Sustained winds will peak in the 40-55 mile per hour range and winds could potentially gust to as high as 70 mph. These winds are expected to cause power outages.
The first squalls are likely to reach the BVI on Monday afternoon. General rainfall amounts are four to eight inches are expected through Tuesday afternoon. Widespread minor flooding is likely with some areas of moderate flooding possible. Delays to transportation are likely.
A tidal of surge of one to three feet is possible along the coast accompanied by large waves and some beach erosion is also likely.
Residents of the British Virgin Islands are advised to monitor the system as it progresses and keep abreast of updates issued by the Department of Disaster Management.
Visit the DDM website at www.bviddm.com and subscribe for updates, visit our Facebook page at www.facebook.com/bvi.ddm or follow us on Twitter at www.twitter.com/BVIDDM.
Disclaimer: The Department of Disaster Management (DDM) is not an official Meteorological Office. The Information disseminated by the Department is gathered from a number of professional sources used or contracted by the DDM to provide such information. This information is to be used as a guide by anyone who has interest in local weather conditions. By no means can the DDM or the BVI Government be held accountable by anyone who uses this information appropriately for legal evidence or in justification of any decision which may result in the loss of finances, property or life.