LOCATION: 15.8 degrees North, 53.3 degrees West
DISTANCE: ABOUT 750 MILES EAST SOUTH EAST OF THE BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS
MOVEMENT: WEST- NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS: 75 MPH
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE: 991 MB
Reports from a Air Force Reserve and NOAA hurricane hunter aircraft indicates that maximum sustained winds have decreased near 75 mph with higher gusts. Additional weakening is forecasted during the next 48 hours and Danny expected to be at tropical storm strength when it reaches the Leeward Islands
At 5:00 p.m., the centre of Hurricane Danny was located near latitude 15.8 degrees north, longitude 53.3 degrees west or about 750 east-south east of the British Virgin Islands. Danny is moving toward the west near 14 miles per hour (mph). A turn to the west with increased forward speed is expected today.
The estimated minimum central pressure is 991 mb.
Hurricane force winds extend outward 10 miles from the centre while tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 60 miles.
The Antigua & Barbuda Meteorological Services which provides forecasts for the British Virgin Islands indicated that a tropical storm watch may be issued for the Territory later today and advised that residents should fully execute their storm plans to protect life and property.
Watches are already in effect for Anguilla, Antigua & Barbuda, Montserrat and St.Kitts & Nevis, Saba, St. Eustatius, St. Maarten, St.Martin, Guadeloupe and St. Barthelemy.
A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours.
Expected Impacts on Land
On its present track, Hurricane Danny is expected to be near or over the British Virgin Islands late Monday and could impact the Territory with sustained winds of around 35 -45 mph. Peak gusts of around 60 mph are possible.
Large battering waves are expected during the passage of Hurricane Danny. Seas will peak near 12 feet. Mariners will need to seek safe anchorage for their vessels.
Rainfall
The first squalls are likely to reach the area on Monday afternoon. General rainfall amounts of 3 to 6 inches are expected through Tuesday afternoon. Higher amounts are likely in the mountains. The Antigua Meteorological Service advises that moderate flooding could occur and a flood watch or warning may be required for Monday.
Some landslides are possible. Road conditions could deteriorate and motorists should exercise caution.
Residents of the British Virgin Islands are advised to monitor the system as it progresses and keep abreast of updates issued by the Department of Disaster Management.
Visit the DDM website at www.bviddm.com and subscribe for updates, visit our Facebook page at www.facebook.com/bvi.ddm or follow us on Twitter at www.twitter.com/BVIDDM.
Disclaimer: The Department of Disaster Management (DDM) is not an official Meteorological Office. The Information disseminated by the Department is gathered from a number of professional sources used or contracted by the DDM to provide such information. This information is to be used as a guide by anyone who has interest in local weather conditions. By no means can the DDM or the BVI Government be held accountable by anyone who uses this information appropriately for legal evidence or in justification of any decision which may result in the loss of finances, property or life.
