****Based on the latest forecasts, the approximate closest point of approach to Road Town from Hurricane Irma is 1.8 miles.****(not 20.9 miles as previously posted).
At 5:00 PM, the National Hurricane Centre has indicated that Hurricane Irma’s maximum sustained winds remain near 185 miles per hour (mph) with higher gusts.
Irma is an extremely dangerous category 5 hurricane. Although some fluctuations in intensity are likely during the next day or two, Irma is forecast to remain a powerful category 4 or 5 hurricane during the next couple of days.
The distinct eye of Hurricane Irma was located near latitude 17.1 degrees North, longitude 59.8 degrees West. Irma is moving toward the west near 15 mph. A turn toward the west-northwest is forecast to begin tonight and continue for the next couple of days.
On the forecast track, the extremely dangerous core of Irma will move over portions of the northern Leeward Islands tonight and into early Wednesday and move near or over portions of the northern Virgin Islands on Wednesday.
Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 175 miles.
The estimated minimum central pressure is 926 millibars.
The BVI is located along latitude 18.25 degrees North, longitude 64.37 degrees West. Based on the latest forecasts, the approximate closest point of approach to Road Town from Hurricane Irma is 1.8 miles.
Irma is expected to produce total rain accumulations of 4 to 10 inches with isolated maximum amounts of 15 inches across the British Virgin Islands.
Swells generated by Irma will affect the British Virgin Islands during the next several days. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Therefore, the Antigua and Barbuda Meteorological Services has warned that sea conditions will be dangerously rough with swells of 20 feet during the passage of Irma. Small Craft operators should stay in Port and ensure that all vessels are safely moored and sea bathers should avoid waters.
Please continue to monitor local media stations, DDM’s website (bviddm.com) and Facebook at BVIDDM for regular updates and preparedness tips.
Disclaimer: The Department of Disaster Management (DDM) is not an official Meteorological Office. The Information disseminated by the Department is gathered from a number of professional sources used or contracted by the DDM to provide such information. This information is to be used as a guide by anyone who has interest in local weather conditions. By no means can the DDM or the BVI Government be held accountable by anyone who uses this information appropriately for legal evidence or in justification of any decision which may result in the loss of finances, property or life.