SEPTEMBER 21ST 2018
The National Hurricane Centre for the second time this season is monitoring multiple systems in the Atlantic. Information from their five day forecast projection highlights four systems in different locations of this region. Two in particular (Disturbance 2 and Disturbance 1) have the potential to affect the Territory.
Residents should continue to monitor the systems and be prepared to take action in the event that they develop and pose a threat to the Territory.
Disturbance 2 is located about 650 miles East-Southeast of the Windward Islands. The NHC has indicated there is a 10 percent chance that the disturbance will become a tropical depression over the next 24 hours. The disturbance is currently moving west to west north west at approximately 10 mph. At this speed it should reach the Islands of the Eastern Caribbean this weekend and the British Virgin Islands early next week. Forecasters expect the system to weaken due to wind shear once in close proximity to the islands of the Eastern Caribbean. Forecasters’ project that if this system were to affect the British Virgin Islands rainfall will be the major factor, however, projections for local amounts are not available at this time.
Disturbance 1 is the latest system to move off the coast of Africa, it is located approximately 700 miles south east of the Cabo Verde Islands. Currently, the system is moving West at 15 to 20 mph which could bring it close to the Lesser Antilles in 7 to 8 days. The National Hurricane Centre projects that this system has a 50% chance of developing in the next 5 days. Disturbance 1 is a very impressive system and residents should continue to monitor it’s progress.
The Department of Disaster Management (DDM) will continue to monitor the systems and provide updates accordingly.
Persons at home and abroad are encouraged to download the DDM’s Alert app in the Apple App store or Google Play store to receive updates of any hazards affecting the Territory.
Disclaimer: The Department of Disaster Management (DDM) is not an official Meteorological Office. The Information disseminated by the Department is gathered from a number of professional sources used or contracted by the DDM to provide such information. This information is to be used as a guide by anyone who has interest in local weather conditions. By no means can the DDM or the BVI Government be held accountable by anyone who uses this information appropriately for legal evidence or in justification of any decision which may result in the loss of finances, property or life