2ND September 2019, 5:00am – Five Tropical Systems spread across the Atlantic a signal of increased tropical cyclone activity.
Dorian is a powerful category five hurricane that has become nearly stationary over Grand Bahamas. The hurricane will continue to produce destructive winds, dangerous storm surge, and torrential, flooding rainfall over the northern Bahamas today.
Numbers are used to differentiate not an official numbering system
A tropical disturbance (1) is along 91W in the south central Gulf of Mexico. It is moving very slowly to the west. The system exhibits some enhanced atmospheric rotation and disorganized thunderstorm activity. The system could become a tropical depression or weak tropical storm before it moves into the Mexican state of Tamaulipas.. The chance of development is 50 percent.
A tropical disturbance (2) is near 14N, 27W. It is drifting slowly to the northwest. The disturbance is becoming better organized as conditions continue to become more favorable for development. Forecasters think it is likely to become a tropical storm as it generally tracks to the northwest. It continues to be more likely that it will remain well north of the Caribbean. The chance of development is 80 percent.
A tropical disturbance (3) is along 60W and near 26N. It continues to exhibit some rotation and heavy thunderstorm activity. Model guidance has become somewhat more aggressive with development. It is expected to re-curve to the northeast and track out to sea. The chance of development is 50 percent.
Another system (4) is likely to come off the coast of Africa over the next couple of days. Forecasters think it will move into the same favorable environment that is causing Disturbance 34 to become better organized. The chance of this future system developing in the Atlantic is 20 percent over the next 5 days. This system will be monitored closely as it progresses further west.
Residents are encouraged to continue to monitor the weather as we are now in the high point of the season. Continue to review plans, conduct necessary preparations and be prepared.
Persons can also download the Alert app in the Apple App store or Google Play store to receive updates of any hazards affecting the Territory.
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Disclaimer: The Department of Disaster Management (DDM) is not an official Meteorological Office. The Information disseminated by the Department is gathered from a number of professional sources used or contracted by the DDM to provide such information. This information is to be used as a guide by anyone who has interest in local weather conditions. By no means can the DDM or the BVI Government be held accountable by anyone who uses this information appropriately for legal evidence or in justification of any decision which may result in the loss of finances, property or life.