September 6, 20191082Views

6th September 2019 – Multiple Systems continue to line the Atlantic some showing no signs of dying, while others continue develop. The focus however for the British Virgin Islands is disturbance 2 and 3 more so 3 as it is showing signs of development going into next week with the potential of reaching the Lesser Antilles.

Disturbance 3 is currently located along 25W which is approximately 2600 miles from the BVI and is tracking towards the west at around 15 mph. The system currently has some rotation and limited thunderstorm activity associated with it. Conditions look to become more favorable for development by early next week as the disturbance continues to track towards the west. The chance of tropical development over the next week is 60 percent. Residents should monitor this disturbance closely as it progresses further west.

Disturbance 2 has been identified several hundred miles east of the northern Leeward Islands. Conditions could become marginally favorable for some tropical development next week as the system tracks towards the west. The chance of development over the next week is 10 percent.

Disturbance 1 is expected to be absorbed into a frontal boundary northeast of Bermuda and for that reason forecasters might choose to discontinue analysis of this system.

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Disclaimer: The Department of Disaster Management (DDM) is not an official Meteorological Office. The Information disseminated by the Department is gathered from a number of professional sources used or contracted by the DDM to provide such information. This information is to be used as a guide by anyone who has interest in local weather conditions. By no means can the DDM or the BVI Government be held accountable by anyone who uses this information appropriately for legal evidence or in justification of any decision which may result in the loss of finances, property or life.