13TH September 2019 – Disturbance 1 is located along 36W and is moving towards the west at around 15 mph. The system has some thunderstorm activity and limited rotation associated with it. A continued westward motion is expected over the next several days. The disturbance will likely be near the Lesser Antilles early next week, where conditions are forecast to become more favorable for development. Forecasters have increased the chance of development during that period. Residents and visitors should monitor the disturbance as it has the potential of becoming a tropical depression before reaching the Lesser Antilles. If the system were to continue to develop it could become a tropical storm. The British Virgin Islands is now within the cone of uncertainty which also increases the probability of impact.
Tropical Wave is along 58W and is moving towards the west-northwest at around 10 mph. The system continues to weaken, however the wave is producing showers and thunderstorms some of which may affect the British Virgin Islands over the weekend.
Disturbance 2 has been identified along 23W. A track towards the west is expected over the next few days. Conditions could become favorable for some development by early next week. The chance of tropical development over the next week is 20 percent. We will continue to monitor this system and provide updates accordingly.
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Disclaimer: The Department of Disaster Management (DDM) is not an official Meteorological Office. The Information disseminated by the Department is gathered from a number of professional sources used or contracted by the DDM to provide such information. This information is to be used as a guide by anyone who has interest in local weather conditions. By no means can the DDM or the BVI Government be held accountable by anyone who uses this information appropriately for legal evidence or in justification of any decision which may result in the loss of finances, property or life.