2nd August, 2010 – Tropical Disturbance 29 is located near 11.5N and 43.0W. This is about 1129 miles east-southeast of Barbados. The disturbance is moving to the west-northwest near 10 mph. It continues to show signs of organization.
Model guidance takes this disturbance to the west-northwest over the next several days. On this track, this system will move near the Virgin Islands in 4-5 days. Beyond then, forecasters believe a more northwesterly track will continue, taking this disturbance to the east of the Bahamas.
Squalls from this system could reach the Windward Islands by Thursday afternoon. These squalls could then begin impacting the Virgin Islands early Friday. Conditions would begin to improve across the northeast Caribbean by late this weekend as this system moves off to the northwest. Strong wind gusts and heavy rain are possible. These rains could cause flash flooding and mudslides, especially in mountainous regions.
As such conditions have created damage to roads and homes over the past few weeks, residents and visitors are reminded to secure valuable items from potential water damage, limit driving on roads that are overrun with water and exercise caution in the event of mudslides and falling rocks. Residents and visitors are asked to monitor local media stations for information pertaining to road closure and other hazards.
Please visit the Department of Disaster Management’s website at www.bviddm.com for continuous updates.