We continue to monitor a strong tropical wave over the far eastern tropical Atlantic, which forecasters expect may be near the northern Leeward Islands by next Friday.
A strong tropical wave over the far eastern tropical Atlantic that is located along 27.5W, or to the south-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands. It is moving to the west at 15 mph. The disturbance is forecast to track in a west to west-northwesterly direction at around 15 mph over the next week.
There is good model agreement that the disturbance will develop a low-level circulation center at some point as it tracks across the Tropical Atlantic over the next few days. Forecasters are predicting it to become a tropical depression as early as Monday of next week and then possibly a weak tropical storm prior to reaching the northeastern Caribbean Sea.
The disturbance is forecast to be moving along the southern periphery of a ridge of high pressure to its north over the next several days. By the end of next week, the ridge to the north is forecast to weaken. As this occurs, the system is expected to turn to the north. The latest model guidance shows that this northward turn could occur before it reaches the northeast Caribbean Sea but there is still some uncertainty regarding the timing of the turn. This system is not expected to move westward across the Caribbean and toward the Gulf of Mexico. A turn in the track to the north into the open waters of the Atlantic is still the likely scenario after it reaches or nears the northeast Caribbean Sea. The latest model guidance also continues to show the system weakening as it approaches the northeastern Caribbean Sea.
There is now a 40 percent chance of tropical development within the next 48 hours and then an 80 percent chance of tropical development within the next week. (Meteorologist: John Hale)
Source: Stormgeo.com
Photo Source : https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/gtwo.php?basin=atlc&fdays=7
๐ฟ๐๐จ๐๐ก๐๐๐ข๐๐ง: ๐๐๐ ๐ฟ๐๐ฅ๐๐ง๐ฉ๐ข๐๐ฃ๐ฉ ๐ค๐ ๐ฟ๐๐จ๐๐จ๐ฉ๐๐ง ๐๐๐ฃ๐๐๐๐ข๐๐ฃ๐ฉ (๐ฟ๐ฟ๐) ๐๐จ ๐ฃ๐ค๐ฉ ๐๐ฃ ๐ค๐๐๐๐๐๐๐ก ๐๐๐ฉ๐๐ค๐ง๐ค๐ก๐ค๐๐๐๐๐ก ๐๐๐๐๐๐. ๐๐๐ ๐๐ฃ๐๐ค๐ง๐ข๐๐ฉ๐๐ค๐ฃ ๐๐๐จ๐จ๐๐ข๐๐ฃ๐๐ฉ๐๐ ๐๐ฎ ๐ฉ๐๐ ๐ฟ๐๐ฅ๐๐ง๐ฉ๐ข๐๐ฃ๐ฉ ๐๐จ ๐๐๐ฉ๐๐๐ง๐๐ ๐๐ง๐ค๐ข ๐ ๐ฃ๐ช๐ข๐๐๐ง ๐ค๐ ๐ฅ๐ง๐ค๐๐๐จ๐จ๐๐ค๐ฃ๐๐ก ๐จ๐ค๐ช๐ง๐๐๐จ ๐ช๐จ๐๐ ๐ค๐ง ๐๐ค๐ฃ๐ฉ๐ง๐๐๐ฉ๐๐ ๐๐ฎ ๐ฉ๐๐ ๐ฟ๐ฟ๐ ๐ฉ๐ค ๐ฅ๐ง๐ค๐ซ๐๐๐ ๐จ๐ช๐๐ ๐๐ฃ๐๐ค๐ง๐ข๐๐ฉ๐๐ค๐ฃ. ๐๐๐๐จ ๐๐ฃ๐๐ค๐ง๐ข๐๐ฉ๐๐ค๐ฃ ๐๐จ ๐ฉ๐ค ๐๐ ๐ช๐จ๐๐ ๐๐จ ๐ ๐๐ช๐๐๐ ๐๐ฎ ๐๐ฃ๐ฎ๐ค๐ฃ๐ ๐ฌ๐๐ค ๐๐๐จ ๐๐ฃ๐ฉ๐๐ง๐๐จ๐ฉ ๐๐ฃ ๐ก๐ค๐๐๐ก ๐ฌ๐๐๐ฉ๐๐๐ง ๐๐ค๐ฃ๐๐๐ฉ๐๐ค๐ฃ๐จ. ๐ฝ๐ฎ ๐ฃ๐ค ๐ข๐๐๐ฃ๐จ ๐๐๐ฃ ๐ฟ๐ฟ๐ ๐ค๐ง ๐ฉ๐๐ ๐ฝ๐๐ ๐๐ค๐ซ๐๐ง๐ฃ๐ข๐๐ฃ๐ฉ ๐๐ ๐๐๐ก๐ ๐๐๐๐ค๐ช๐ฃ๐ฉ๐๐๐ก๐ ๐๐ฎ ๐๐ฃ๐ฎ๐ค๐ฃ๐ ๐ฌ๐๐ค ๐ช๐จ๐๐จ ๐ฉ๐๐๐จ ๐๐ฃ๐๐ค๐ง๐ข๐๐ฉ๐๐ค๐ฃ ๐๐ฅ๐ฅ๐ง๐ค๐ฅ๐ง๐๐๐ฉ๐๐ก๐ฎ ๐๐ค๐ง ๐ก๐๐๐๐ก ๐๐ซ๐๐๐๐ฃ๐๐ ๐ค๐ง ๐๐ฃ ๐๐ช๐จ๐ฉ๐๐๐๐๐๐ฉ๐๐ค๐ฃ ๐ค๐ ๐๐ฃ๐ฎ ๐๐๐๐๐จ๐๐ค๐ฃ ๐ฌ๐๐๐๐ ๐ข๐๐ฎ ๐ง๐๐จ๐ช๐ก๐ฉ ๐๐ฃ ๐ฉ๐๐ ๐ก๐ค๐จ๐จ ๐ค๐ ๐๐๐ฃ๐๐ฃ๐๐๐จ, ๐ฅ๐ง๐ค๐ฅ๐๐ง๐ฉ๐ฎ ๐ค๐ง ๐ก๐๐๐.
