LOCATION: 15.8 degrees North, 57.3 degrees West
DISTANCE: ABOUT 495 MILES EAST SOUTH EAST OF THE BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS
MOVEMENT: WEST NEAR 15 MPH
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS: 50 MPH
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE: 1003 MB
Since the previous advisory, Danny’s intensity has remained relatively steady.
Danny is experiencing a lot wind shear which continues to keep the intense squalls to the northeast of the centre. Forecasters still expect gradual weakening with the possibility of Danny dissipating in about 60 hours near Hispaniola.
At 11:00 a.m. the centre of Tropical Storm Danny was located near latitude 15.8 degrees north, longitude 57.3 degrees west. Danny is moving toward the west near 15 miles per hour (mph). A westward to west north-west trend is expected in 48 hours.
Maximum sustained winds remain near 50 mph with higher gusts. Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 60 miles. Additional weakening is forecasted during the next 48 hours.
The estimated minimum central pressure is 1003 mb.
Expected Impacts on Land
Danny is expected it to move through the Leeward Islands as a small, 40 mph tropical storm early Monday. Late Monday night into early Tuesday morning, it will pass just south of the Virgin Islands as a tropical depression. Only minor impacts from rain and wind are likely.
Sustained winds are expected to peak in the 25-35 mph range, with gusts to 45 mph possible. For the Virgin Islands, these winds are expected to occur Monday evening. The winds could cause some isolated power outages.
General rainfall amounts of 1 to 4 inches are likely mid-afternoon Monday through late Tuesday morning. Minor flooding is possible. Impacts should be minor.
No significant tidal surge is expected.
Residents of the British Virgin Islands are advised to monitor the system as it progresses and keep abreast of updates issued by the Department of Disaster Management.
Visit the DDM website at www.bviddm.com and subscribe for updates, visit our Facebook page at www.facebook.com/bvi.ddm or follow us on Twitter at www.twitter.com/BVIDDM.
Disclaimer: The Department of Disaster Management (DDM) is not an official Meteorological Office. The Information disseminated by the Department is gathered from a number of professional sources used or contracted by the DDM to provide such information. This information is to be used as a guide by anyone who has interest in local weather conditions. By no means can the DDM or the BVI Government be held accountable by anyone who uses this information appropriately for legal evidence or in justification of any decision which may result in the loss of finances, property or life.