LOCATION: 11.3N 40.2W
DISTANCE: ABOUT 1681 MILES SOUTH EAST OF THE BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS: 50 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT: W OR 280 DEGREES AT 14 MPH
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE: 1000 MB
At 500 AM the centre of Tropical Storm Danny was located near latitude 11.3 North, longitude 40.2 West. Danny is moving toward the west near 14 mph, and a track to the west-northwest is expected during the next 48 hours.
Maximum sustained winds remain near 50 mph with higher gusts. Some strengthening is forecast during the next 48 hours, and Danny could become a hurricane on Thursday.
Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 45 miles from the centre.
The estimated minimum central pressure is 1000 mb.
Danny has changed little over the past few hours. Conditions are generally favorable for strengthening and Danny could become a hurricane in around 24 hours. A gradual weakening trend is possible once Danny enters the eastern Caribbean Sea. There is a chance Danny could move a little north of the forecast track and encounter less favorable conditions.
Impacts could be felt in the Lesser Antilles as early as Monday morning. Some guidance favors a faster forward motion. However, a weaker Danny would move faster while a Danny that strengthens as expected would move at a speed similar to the forecast.
Residents of the British Virgin Islands are advised to monitor the system as it progresses and keep abreast of updates issued by the Department of Disaster Management.
Visit the DDM website at www.bviddm.com and subscribe for updates, visit our Facebook page at www.facebook.com/bvi.ddm or follow us on Twitter at www.twitter.com/BVIDDM.
Disclaimer: The Department of Disaster Management (DDM) is not an official Meteorological Office. The Information disseminated by the Department is gathered from a number of professional sources used or contracted by the DDM to provide such information. This information is to be used as a guide by anyone who has interest in local weather conditions. By no means can the DDM or the BVI Government be held accountable by anyone who uses this information appropriately for legal evidence or in justification of any decision which may result in the loss of finances, property or life.