LOCATION: 15.8 degrees North, 56.0 degrees West
DISTANCE: ABOUT 577 MILES EAST SOUTH EAST OF THE BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS
MOVEMENT: WEST NEAR 15 MPH
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS: 50 MPH
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE: 1001 MB
Danny has officially been downgraded to a tropical storm by the National Hurricane Centre.
Satellite imagery indicates that strong southwesterly wind shear has caused the center of Danny to become exposed. Intense squalls are only occurring in the northeastern quadrant with winds up to 50 mph. Gradual weakening is expected until Danny dissipates in about 60 hours between Puerto Rico and Hispaniola. Only minor impacts are expected for the islands of the northeastern Caribbean Sea.
At 5:00 a.m. the centre of Hurricane Danny was located near latitude 15.8 degrees north, longitude 56.0 degrees west. Danny is moving toward the west near 15 miles per hour (mph). This general motion is expected through tonight. A track towards the west north-west is forecasted on Monday.
Maximum sustained winds remain near 50 mph with higher gusts. Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 60 miles. Additional weakening is forecasted during the next 48 hours.
The estimated minimum central pressure is 1001 mb.
Expected Impacts on Land
Danny has weakened to a 50 mph tropical storm and is expected to move through the Leeward Islands as a small, 40 mph tropical storm early Monday. The system is predicted to pass just south of the Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico as a tropical depression late Monday night into early Tuesday morning.
Sustained winds are expected to peak in the 30-35 mph range, with gusts to 45 mph possible. For the Virgin Islands, these winds are expected to occur Monday evening.. The winds could cause some scattered power outages.
General rainfall amounts of 2 to 4 inches are likely mid-afternoon Monday through late Tuesday morning.
No significant tidal surge is expected.
Residents of the British Virgin Islands are advised to monitor the system as it progresses and keep abreast of updates issued by the Department of Disaster Management.
Visit the DDM website at www.bviddm.com and subscribe for updates, visit our Facebook page at www.facebook.com/bvi.ddm or follow us on Twitter at www.twitter.com/BVIDDM.
Disclaimer: The Department of Disaster Management (DDM) is not an official Meteorological Office. The Information disseminated by the Department is gathered from a number of professional sources used or contracted by the DDM to provide such information. This information is to be used as a guide by anyone who has interest in local weather conditions. By no means can the DDM or the BVI Government be held accountable by anyone who uses this information appropriately for legal evidence or in justification of any decision which may result in the loss of finances, property or life.