A weak tropical wave will generate unstable weather conditions across the Islands today and tonight. Conditions today could be partly cloudy with scattered showers with a chance of isolated thunderstorms developing. Then tonight there is a possibility of cloudy skies also with a chance of isolated thunderstorms.
INVEST 99L (DISTURBANCE 1)
Invest 99L (Disturbance 1) is located over the central Atlantic, about 1514 miles from the Virgin Islands. The disturbance remains poorly organized, generating only a few squalls. It is expected to continue to move to the west-northwest, and bring some showers and thunderstorms to the Leeward Islands late on Wednesday and Thursday. Model guidance indicates that it will move around the subtropical high toward the western Atlantic.
TROPICAL STORM FRANKLIN
Tropical Storm Franklin has formed. Franklin has maximum sustained winds of 45 mph, and it is located about 315 miles southeast of Cozumel, Yucatan. This tropical storm is intensifying, and forecasters think this storm will make landfall in northeast Yucatan with maximum winds of 70 mph in about 18 hours. However, the main impact is expected to be the heavy rainfall that will lead to flooding.
NEW TROPICAL WAVE
New tropical wave has been introduced over the eastern Atlantic. It is an elongated tropical wave that is moving westward, and it is producing some disorganized showers. The weak disturbance is associated with dry Saharan air, and this should hinder development over the next few days. The chance of development is 10 percent over the next 7 days.
At present there is uncertainty of the rainfall amounts in relations to the Tropical Wave and Invest 99L (Disturbance1). The tropical wave is expected to affect the territory sometime today into tonight and Invest 99L is expected to affect the territory around Wednesday or Thursday. Franklin is no threat to the Virgin Islands and the new tropical wave will be monitored.
Residents are encouraged to monitor the systems and the Atlantic as more waves are expected to exit the African Coast in the coming weeks.
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Disclaimer: The Department of Disaster Management (DDM) is not an official Meteorological Office. The Information disseminated by the Department is gathered from a number of professional sources used or contracted by the DDM to provide such information. This information is to be used as a guide by anyone who has interest in local weather conditions. By no means can the DDM or the BVI Government be held accountable by anyone who uses this information appropriately for legal evidence or in justification of any decision which may result in the loss of finances, property or life.