24 September, 2019 — At 5PM, Tropical Storm Karen has shifted a bit further to the east. The system is exhibiting signs of erratic movement from east to west. Karen maintains 45 mph winds with higher gusts and a forward speed of 7 mph. The centre of Karen is located 18 degrees North, 65.8 degrees West, or approximately 84 miles from the British Virgin Islands. Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 80 miles from the centre. The closest point of approach would be approximately 76 miles to the west of the British Virgin Islands. This will still keep the BVI in the area of convection.
Forecasters still maintain the Flash Flood Watch with the possibility of upgrading this to a Flash Flood Warning if needed. The potential for gusty winds and heavy rainfall of 3–6 inches with isolated higher amounts are still possible later tonight into tomorrow.
High Surf and Small Craft Advisories remain in effect with seas ranging from of 10–12 feet. Rough sea conditions have washed debris in roads on the south coasts as this expected to increase when the system moves closer. Residents should continue to monitor the system as it has not passed the area.