The Department of Disaster Management is monitoring two tropical systems in the eastern Atlantic that are showings signs of development. Residents are urged to monitor the systems as they may have the potential to impact the British Virgin Islands.
Disturbance 1 continues to become better organised. The low level circulation appears to be becoming better defined. The intensity is analysed at 35 miles per hour (mph). Models continue to show the development of the disturbance as it approaches the Caribbean Sea. We are predicting that the disturbance will become a tropical storm within the next 36 hours. The storm will cross into the northeast Caribbean on Monday night, where conditions will be favorable for steady strengthening, possibly at or near hurricane intensity as it nears the Dominican Republic Wednesday evening. Once north of the Dominican Republic on Thursday, conditions will favor steady strengthening as the storm passes to the east of the eastern Bahamas. Forecasters think that it will become a hurricane again north of the Dominican Republic next Thursday night.
Expected Impacts on Land
Leeward Islands: Tropical storm conditions with gusty wind and heavy rain are possible from St. Lucia north to Guadeloupe Island on Monday afternoon and Monday night, resulting in power outages and some flooding. Significant travel delays are possible.
U.S. and British Virgin Islands through Puerto Rico: Tropical storm conditions with strong wind and heavy rain are possible Tuesday afternoon through Wednesday, resulting in flooding.
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN
Tropical Depression Fourteen remains poorly organised over the far eastern Atlantic. Maximum sustained winds are 35 mph. Movement is to the west-northwest at 10 miles per hour. The tropical depression is expected to become a tropical storm during the weekend as it moves into the central Atlantic. Early next week, wind shear will be increasing over the circulation. This will cause the system to weaken, and become a remnant cyclone by Wednesday. This tropical depression is not a threat to the Caribbean Sea.
Please continue to monitor local media stations, DDM’s website (bviddm.com) and Facebook at BVIDDM for regular updates.
Image credited to the National Hurricane Centre
Disclaimer: The Department of Disaster Management (DDM) is not an official Meteorological Office. The Information disseminated by the Department is gathered from a number of professional sources used or contracted by the DDM to provide such information. This information is to be used as a guide by anyone who has interest in local weather conditions. By no means can the DDM or the BVI Government be held accountable by anyone who uses this information appropriately for legal evidence or in justification of any decision which may result in the loss of finances, property or life.