August 15, 20172505Views

Forecasters at the Antigua & Barbuda Meteorological Services continue to monitor a number of tropical waves in the Atlantic.

In their latest forecast, they have indicated that a tropical wave is expected to affect the territory on Wednesday (August 16) into Thursday (August 17) once again creating an unstable environment resulting in cloudy skies, showers and thunderstorms.

A second tropical wave will likely cause similar weather starting Friday night.

Other Disturbances

There are two other disturbances in the Atlantic being monitored by several weather forecasting agencies.

Disturbance 1 is located near latitude 14 degrees north, longitude 39 degrees west, while disturbance 2 is situated along latitude 13 degrees north and longitude 29 degrees west. Both are producing disorganised showers and thunderstorms.

These systems are expected to move westward to west-north-westward over the next few days. It is uncertain whether these systems will merge, or remain two separate disturbances.

The latest model guidance suggests that they will remain weak as they approach the Lesser Antilles on Friday and Saturday. This will lead to an increase in showers and thunderstorms across the area.

Afterwards, Disturbance 1 is expected to move westward across the Caribbean Sea.  Disturbance 2 will move north of the islands. The chance of development of Disturbances 1 and 2, is 30 percent over the next 7 days. Residents are advised to monitor these systems closely as they have the potential for development.

There is also another tropical wave in the over western Africa which is forecast to emerge over the far eastern Atlantic Ocean on Wednesday. Current conditions are reported to be conducive for some development.

The DDM will continue to monitor these weather systems and provide updates when they become available.

Please continue to monitor local media stations, DDM’s website ( and Facebook at BVIDDM for regular updates.

Disclaimer: The Department of Disaster Management (DDM) is not an official Meteorological Office. The Information disseminated by the Department is gathered from a number of professional sources used or contracted by the DDM to provide such information. This information is to be used as a guide by anyone who has interest in local weather conditions. By no means can the DDM or the BVI Government be held accountable by anyone who uses this information appropriately for legal evidence or in justification of any decision which may result in the loss of finances, property or life.

Image Credit National Oceanic Atmospheric Administration