July 25, 20131079Views

Current Position: 16.0N/35.9W

Geographic Reference: 1800 miles E of The Northern Leeward Islands

Our Estimated Max Winds: 60 mph 

Movement: West-northwestward at 17 mph

Radius of Tropical Storm Force Winds: 60 miles

Minimum Central Pressure: 999Mb

At 11:00 a.m., the centre of Tropical Storm Dorian was located near Latitude 16.0 North and Longitude 35.9 West. Dorian is moving toward the west-northwest near 17 mph and this general motion is expected to continue today followed by a gradual turn toward the West on Friday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 60 mph with higher gusts.  Some fluctuations in strength are likely during the next 48 hours. 

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles from the centre.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 999 mb.

Dorian is expected to pass north of the Leeward Islands, Puerto Rico and Hispaniola on Monday and Tuesday. Tropical storm force winds are expected to remain north of these islands. The outer bands could spread some locally heavy rain as it passes to the north.

Expected Impacts Onshore

Northern Leeward Islands, Virgin Islands 

Rainfall: 3 to 6 inches of rain is possible Sunday through early Monday. These rains may cause localized flooding and mudslides.

Storm Surge: No surge expected as the centre should pass north of the islands.

The Antigua & Barbuda Meteorological Services which provides official weather forecasts for the British Virgin Islands, is following the progress of Tropical Storm Dorian. In its 11:00 a.m. forecast, the Antigua Met Services stated: “This system poses no immediate threat to the Leeward Islands and British Virgin Islands. However residents should continue to listen to further updates and be prepared to take action if necessary.”

The Department of Disaster Management is continuing to monitor the progress of Tropical Storm Dorian and will publish updates as they are made available.

Disclaimer: The Department of Disaster Management (DDM) is not an official Meteorological Office. The Information disseminated by the Department is gathered from a number of professional sources used or contracted by the DDM to provide such information. This information is to be used as a guide by anyone who has interest in local weather conditions. By no means can the DDM or the BVI Government be held accountable by anyone who uses this information appropriately for legal evidence or in justification of any decision which may result in the loss of finances, property or life.