Image credited to the National Hurricane Centre
Disturbance 1 is centered over 500 miles southwest of the Cape Verde Islands. A weak low pressure has formed near 11N, 31W, and it is generating a disorganized area of squalls. Some slight intensification is possible over the next few days as it moves westward. However, the disturbance is close to a large area of dry air, which is likely to interfere with any development. Thus, the chance of development is assessed at 30 percent.
A Disturbance is approaching the coast of western Africa, and it is likely to reach the eastern Atlantic in the next 24 hours. Some strengthening is possible as the westerly moving tropical wave traverses the tropical Atlantic between Africa and the Lesser Antilles. However, model guidance is now showing less development than in previous days. Thus, the chance of development is decreased to 20 percent.
Both systems are being monitored and the DDM will provide updates accordingly.
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Disclaimer: The Department of Disaster Management (DDM) is not an official Meteorological Office. The Information disseminated by the Department is gathered from a number of professional sources used or contracted by the DDM to provide such information. This information is to be used as a guide by anyone who has interest in local weather conditions. By no means can the DDM or the BVI Government be held accountable by anyone who uses this information appropriately for legal evidence or in justification of any decision which may result in the loss of finances, property or life.