Disturbance 1 is located near latitude 12 degrees North, longitude 23 degrees West, or a couple hundred miles south of the Cape Verde Islands. It is moving to the West-North West at about 20 mph. This is expected to continue over the next few days, before turning more westward over the central Atlantic. The disturbance is producing showers and thunderstorms, and it is showing signs of organization. The system is expected to gradually become better organized over the next few days. Latest model guidance suggests that it may become a threat to the Leeward Islands in about a week. However, it is too early to determine the exact track and intensity. The chance of development over the next 7 days is 90 percent.
Please continue to monitor local media stations, DDM’s website (bviddm.com) and Facebook at BVIDDM for regular updates.
Disclaimer: The Department of Disaster Management (DDM) is not an official Meteorological Office. The Information disseminated by the Department is gathered from a number of professional sources used or contracted by the DDM to provide such information. This information is to be used as a guide by anyone who has interest in local weather conditions. By no means can the DDM or the BVI Government be held accountable by anyone who uses this information appropriately for legal evidence or in justification of any decision which may result in the loss of finances, property or life.