THE ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE IS CLOSELY FOLLOWING THE PROGRESS OF TROPICAL DISTURBANCE AL94.
TROPICAL DISTURBANCE AL94 COULD BECOME A TROPICAL STORM NEAR THE AREA. THEREFORE, A TROPICAL ALERT IS IN EFFECT FOR THE LEEWARD ISLANDS AND THE BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS. A TROPICAL CYCLONE ALERT MEANS THAT A TROPICAL CYCLONE IS LIKELY TO FORM IN OUR MONITORED AREA, BUT A WATCH OR WARNING IS NOT REQUIRED AT THIS TIME.
GIVEN THE UNCERTAINTY OF THE FORECAST TRACK, INTENSITY AND SIZE, IF TROPICAL DISTURBANCE AL94 DEVELOPS INTO THE STORM IT IS STILL IMPOSSIBLE TO PREDICT WHAT EXACTLY WILL BECOME OF THE SYSTEM, AT THIS TIME. NOTWITHSTANDING, AT THE REASONABLE WORST-CASE TROPICAL DISTURBANCE AL94 POSES AN ELEVATED THREAT WITH THE POTENTIAL TO CAUSE LIMITED IMPACTS FROM NEAR STORM FORCE WINDS, HIGH SEAS AND MINOR FLOODING WHICH COULD RESULT IN LIFE THREATENING CONDITIONS, SOME DISRUPTION TO DAILY LIFE AND MINOR DAMAGE TO INFRUSTRUCTURE.
AT 11AM ECT OR 1500Z TROPICAL DISTURBANCE AL94 IS LOCATED ABOUT 330 MILES SOUTHEAST OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS AND MOVING TOWARDS THE WEST- NORTHWEST AT 10 TO 15 MPH. A NORTHERN TURN IS POSSIBLE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS, WHICH COULD BRING THE SYSTEM NEAR TO THE NORTH EASTERN CARIBBEAN.
ON ITS FORECAST TRACK, THE SYSTEM WILL LIKELY AFFECT THE LEEWARD ISLANDS TONIGHT AND THE BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS BY TUESDAY. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AND STRONG GUSTY WINDS ARE LIKELY. FURTHER DEVELOPMENT TO A TROPICAL STORM IS POSSIBLE WHILE THE DISTURBANCE IS NEAR THE ISLANDS; HENCE, A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MAY BE REQUIRED.
ALL RESIDENTS ARE URGED TO MONITOR TROPICAL DISTURBANCE AL94 CLOSELY AND HAVE THEIR HURRICANE SEASON PLANS PREPARED, IN THE EVENT THAT QUICK ACTION IS REQUIRED TO SAFEGUARD, LIFE, PROPERTY AND LIVELIHOOD.
FORECASTER
PATRICE EDWARDS
๐๐ ๐๐ต๐ถ๐ ๐๐ถ๐บ๐ฒ ๐๐ต๐ฒ๐ฟ๐ฒ ๐ฎ๐ฟ๐ฒ ๐ป๐ผ ๐๐ฎ๐๐ฐ๐ต๐ฒ๐ ๐ผ๐ฟ ๐๐ฎ๐ฟ๐ป๐ถ๐ป๐ด๐ ๐ณ๐ผ๐ฟ ๐๐ต๐ฒ ๐๐ฟ๐ถ๐๐ถ๐๐ต ๐ฉ๐ถ๐ฟ๐ด๐ถ๐ป ๐๐๐น๐ฎ๐ป๐ฑ๐. ๐ฃ๐ฒ๐ฟ๐๐ผ๐ป๐ ๐บ๐๐๐ ๐ฐ๐ผ๐ป๐๐ถ๐ป๐๐ฒ ๐๐ผ ๐บ๐ผ๐ป๐ถ๐๐ผ๐ฟ ๐๐ต๐ฒ ๐๐๐น๐ฎ๐ป๐๐ถ๐ฐ ๐ถ๐ป ๐ฐ๐ฎ๐๐ฒ ๐ผ๐ณ ๐ฎ๐ป๐ ๐ฐ๐ต๐ฎ๐ป๐ด๐ฒ๐ ๐๐ถ๐๐ต ๐๐ต๐ฒ๐๐ฒ ๐๐๐๐๐ฒ๐บ๐.
๐๐ผ๐ป๐๐ถ๐ป๐๐ฒ ๐๐ผ ๐ฐ๐ต๐ฒ๐ฐ๐ธ ๐๐ต๐ฒ ๐๐๐ ๐ฎ๐ฝ๐ฝ, ๐๐ฎ๐ฐ๐ฒ๐ฏ๐ผ๐ผ๐ธ, ๐๐ป๐๐๐ฎ๐ด๐ฟ๐ฎ๐บ, ๐ง๐๐ถ๐๐๐ฒ๐ฟ ๐ฝ๐ฎ๐ด๐ฒ๐ ๐ฎ๐ป๐ฑ ๐ผ๐๐ฟ ๐๐ฒ๐ฏ๐๐ถ๐๐ฒ ๐๐๐.๐ฏ๐๐ถ๐ฑ๐ฑ๐บ.๐ฐ๐ผ๐บ ๐ณ๐ผ๐ฟ ๐๐ฝ๐ฑ๐ฎ๐๐ฒ๐.
Disclaimer: The Department of Disaster Management (DDM) is not an official Meteorological Office. The Information disseminated by the Department is gathered from a number of professional sources used or contracted by the DDM to provide such information. This information is to be used as a guide by anyone who has interest in local weather conditions. By no means can DDM or the BVI Government be held accountable by anyone who uses this information appropriately for legal evidence or in justification of any decision which may result in the loss of finances, property or life.
