The Atlantic is showing signs of increased activity as a number of tropical systems have moved off the African coast and continue to do so.
Disturbance 1 is located about 1700 miles east of the Caribbean near 13N/36W. The disturbance is moving at 15 mph and appears to have a weak low-level circulation associated with it. Some models continue to be in agreement on development east of the Caribbean, though there will be at least some dry air inhibiting development over the next 3-4 days. Forecasters’ estimated that development chances are about 30 percent. The system is projected to pass the islands of the northeast Caribbean on Friday night. At the very least, it will produce increased squalls across the northern Leeward Islands to Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands from Friday morning through Saturday evening.
In addition to Disturbance 1, the National Hurricane Centre has indicated a second tropical wave (Disturbance 2) over western Africa is forecast to emerge into the far eastern Atlantic Ocean in about two days. Conditions appear conducive for some development after that time while the wave moves westward at about 15 mph.
Residents are encouraged to monitor the systems as they have the potential to impact the British Virgin Islands.
The DDM will continue to monitor these weather systems and provide updates when they become available.
Please continue to monitor local media stations, DDM’s website (bviddm.com) and Facebook at BVIDDM for regular updates.
Disclaimer: The Department of Disaster Management (DDM) is not an official Meteorological Office. The Information disseminated by the Department is gathered from a number of professional sources used or contracted by the DDM to provide such information. This information is to be used as a guide by anyone who has interest in local weather conditions. By no means can the DDM or the BVI Government be held accountable by anyone who uses this information appropriately for legal evidence or in justification of any decision which may result in the loss of finances, property or life.
