September 20, 20191404Views

20th September 2019 – At 500 AM, the centre of Hurricane Jerry was located near latitude 18.4 North, longitude 58.7 West. Jerry is moving toward the west-northwest near 16 mph.  A west-northwest to northwest motion at a decreasing forward speed is expected over the next few days.  On the forecast track, the centre of Jerry will pass North of the British Virgin Islands on Saturday.

Maximum sustained winds remain near 105 mph with higher gusts.  A gradual weakening trend is forecast to begin later today, but Jerry is expected to remain a hurricane during the next few days.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 25 miles from the centre and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 80 miles.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 981 mb.

Impact on the British Virgin Islands

Rainfall estimates of 4 – 6 inches is possible on Anegada

Rainfall estimates of 1 – 3 inches is possible on the remaining Islands of the BVI

Rough sea conditions especially on the north side of the Islands

High Surf Warning is in effect (see separate post for details).

What to do

Keep monitoring the system as it progresses further westward for any change in its path and intensity.

Check drainage paths or specific areas to ensure debris is not blocking those locations.

Stay away from swimming activities at this point.

Persons can also download the Alert app in the Apple App store or Google Play store to receive updates of any hazards affecting the Territory.

You can also visit the DDM’s webpage at and subscribe for updates or like us on Facebook at


Next update will be at 11pm unless special bulletins are issued before that time.

Disclaimer: The Department of Disaster Management (DDM) is not an official Meteorological Office. The Information disseminated by the Department is gathered from a number of professional sources used or contracted by the DDM to provide such information. This information is to be used as a guide by anyone who has interest in local weather conditions. By no means can the DDM or the BVI Government be held accountable by anyone who uses this information appropriately for legal evidence or in justification of any decision which may result in the loss of finances, property or life.