Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 PM EDT Mon Sep 4 2023 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Active Systems: The National Hurricane Center has issued the last advisory on Post-Tropical Cyclone Katia, located over the eastern subtropical Atlantic. 1. Central Tropical Atlantic (AL95): Showers and thunderstorms associated with an area of low pressure located over the central tropical Atlantic about 800 miles west-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands have changed little in organization through the day. However, environmental conditions are conducive for further development, and a tropical depression or tropical storm is expected to form over the next day or so while the low moves toward the west-northwest at 15 to 20 mph across the central tropical Atlantic. Additional strengthening, possibly to a hurricane, is likely later this week while the system moves over western portions of the tropical Atlantic, near or to the northeast of the northern Leeward Islands. For additional information on this system, including gale warnings, see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...high...near 100 percent. 2. Eastern Tropical Atlantic: A strong tropical wave is forecast to move off the coast of West Africa on Tuesday. Environmental conditions appear conducive for development once the wave moves offshore, and a tropical depression could form over the far eastern tropical Atlantic during the middle to latter part of the week while the system moves to the west or west-northwest at 10 to 15 mph. This system is expected to move across the Cabo Verde Islands Wednesday night and Thursday, and interests there should monitor its progress. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...60 percent. 3. Northeastern Atlantic (ex-Franklin): Post-Tropical Cyclone Franklin is located several hundred miles north of the Azores and is forecast to move quickly southeastward towards warmer waters east of the Azores. This system could acquire some subtropical or tropical characteristics late this week or this weekend while it moves erratically between the Azores and Portugal. For additional information on this system, including gale warnings, see High Seas Forecasts issued by Meteo France. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.
Forecaster Berg ๐ฟ๐๐จ๐๐ก๐๐๐ข๐๐ง: ๐๐๐ ๐ฟ๐๐ฅ๐๐ง๐ฉ๐ข๐๐ฃ๐ฉ ๐ค๐ ๐ฟ๐๐จ๐๐จ๐ฉ๐๐ง ๐๐๐ฃ๐๐๐๐ข๐๐ฃ๐ฉ (๐ฟ๐ฟ๐) ๐๐จ ๐ฃ๐ค๐ฉ ๐๐ฃ ๐ค๐๐๐๐๐๐๐ก ๐๐๐ฉ๐๐ค๐ง๐ค๐ก๐ค๐๐๐๐๐ก ๐๐๐๐๐๐. ๐๐๐ ๐๐ฃ๐๐ค๐ง๐ข๐๐ฉ๐๐ค๐ฃ ๐๐๐จ๐จ๐๐ข๐๐ฃ๐๐ฉ๐๐ ๐๐ฎ ๐ฉ๐๐ ๐ฟ๐๐ฅ๐๐ง๐ฉ๐ข๐๐ฃ๐ฉ ๐๐จ ๐๐๐ฉ๐๐๐ง๐๐ ๐๐ง๐ค๐ข ๐ ๐ฃ๐ช๐ข๐๐๐ง ๐ค๐ ๐ฅ๐ง๐ค๐๐๐จ๐จ๐๐ค๐ฃ๐๐ก ๐จ๐ค๐ช๐ง๐๐๐จ ๐ช๐จ๐๐ ๐ค๐ง ๐๐ค๐ฃ๐ฉ๐ง๐๐๐ฉ๐๐ ๐๐ฎ ๐ฉ๐๐ ๐ฟ๐ฟ๐ ๐ฉ๐ค ๐๐ข๐ฅ๐ง๐ค๐ซ๐๐๐ ๐จ๐ช๐๐ ๐๐ฃ๐๐ค๐ง๐ข๐๐ฉ๐๐ค๐ฃ. ๐๐๐๐จ ๐๐ฃ๐๐ค๐ง๐ข๐๐ฉ๐๐ค๐ฃ ๐๐จ ๐ฉ๐ค ๐๐ ๐ช๐จ๐๐ ๐๐จ ๐ ๐๐ช๐๐๐ ๐๐ฎ ๐๐ฃ๐ฎ๐ค๐ฃ๐ ๐ฌ๐๐ค ๐๐๐จ ๐๐ฃ๐ฉ๐๐ง๐๐จ๐ฉ ๐๐ฃ ๐ก๐ค๐๐๐ก ๐ฌ๐๐๐ฉ๐๐๐ง ๐๐ค๐ฃ๐๐๐ฉ๐๐ค๐ฃ๐จ. ๐ฝ๐ฎ ๐ฃ๐ค ๐ข๐๐๐ฃ๐จ ๐๐๐ฃ ๐ฟ๐ฟ๐ ๐ค๐ง ๐ฉ๐๐ ๐ฝ๐๐ ๐๐ค๐ซ๐๐ง๐ฃ๐ข๐๐ฃ๐ฉ ๐๐ ๐๐๐ก๐ ๐๐๐๐ค๐ช๐ฃ๐ฉ๐๐๐ก๐ ๐๐ฎ ๐๐ฃ๐ฎ๐ค๐ฃ๐ ๐ฌ๐๐ค ๐ช๐จ๐๐จ ๐ฉ๐๐๐จ ๐๐ฃ๐๐ค๐ง๐ข๐๐ฉ๐๐ค๐ฃ ๐๐ฅ๐ฅ๐ง๐ค๐ฅ๐ง๐๐๐ฉ๐๐ก๐ฎ ๐๐ค๐ง ๐ก๐๐๐๐ก ๐๐ซ๐๐๐๐ฃ๐๐ ๐ค๐ง ๐๐ฃ ๐๐ช๐จ๐ฉ๐๐๐๐๐๐ฉ๐๐ค๐ฃ ๐ค๐ ๐๐ฃ๐ฎ ๐๐๐๐๐จ๐๐ค๐ฃ ๐ฌ๐๐๐๐ ๐ข๐๐ฎ ๐ง๐๐จ๐ช๐ก๐ฉ ๐๐ฃ ๐ฉ๐๐ ๐ก๐ค๐จ๐จ ๐ค๐ ๐๐๐ฃ๐๐ฃ๐๐๐จ, ๐ฅ๐ง๐ค๐ฅ๐๐ง๐ฉ๐ฎ ๐ค๐ง ๐ก๐๐๐.