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TROPICAL WATCH UPDATE #6

TROPICAL WATCH UPDATE #6

August 31, 2022132Views

Forecaster Brown of the National Hurricane Centre 8 pm update.

1. East of the Leeward Islands: Showers and thunderstorms associated with a broad area of low pressure located several hundred miles east of the Leeward Islands have gradually increased in organization over the past day or so. Although environmental conditions remain only marginally conducive, only slight additional development of the system over the next few days would lead to the formation of a tropical depression.ย  The disturbance is forecast to move slowly west-northwestward, toward the adjacent waters of the northern Leeward Islands. Estimated position is 831 miles ESE of Road Town.

2. Eastern Tropical Atlantic: Recent satellite wind data indicate that a broad area of low pressure is located just to the northeast of the Cabo Verde Islands. Although shower and thunderstorm activity associated with the system has diminished since earlier today, there is still a potential for the system to become a short-lived tropical depression within the next day or so before environmental conditions become unfavorable for further development.ย  Regardless, the system could bring locally heavy rainfall to portions of the Cabo Verde Islands through Thursday.

3. Central Subtropical Atlantic: An area of low pressure located about 850 miles west-southwest of the westernmost Azores has changed little in organization since earlier today.ย  Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for development, and a tropical or subtropical depression is likely to form within the next day or so, while the system drifts generally eastward.ย  Additional information on this system can be found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service.

๐—”๐˜ ๐˜๐—ต๐—ถ๐˜€ ๐˜๐—ถ๐—บ๐—ฒ ๐˜๐—ต๐—ฒ๐—ฟ๐—ฒ ๐—ฎ๐—ฟ๐—ฒ ๐—ป๐—ผ ๐˜„๐—ฎ๐˜๐—ฐ๐—ต๐—ฒ๐˜€ ๐—ผ๐—ฟ ๐˜„๐—ฎ๐—ฟ๐—ป๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ด๐˜€ ๐—ณ๐—ผ๐—ฟ ๐˜๐—ต๐—ฒ ๐—ฉ๐—ถ๐—ฟ๐—ด๐—ถ๐—ป ๐—œ๐˜€๐—น๐—ฎ๐—ป๐—ฑ๐˜€. ๐—ฃ๐—ฒ๐—ฟ๐˜€๐—ผ๐—ป๐˜€ ๐—บ๐˜‚๐˜€๐˜ ๐—ฐ๐—ผ๐—ป๐˜๐—ถ๐—ป๐˜‚๐—ฒ ๐˜๐—ผ ๐—บ๐—ผ๐—ป๐—ถ๐˜๐—ผ๐—ฟ ๐˜๐—ต๐—ฒ ๐—”๐˜๐—น๐—ฎ๐—ป๐˜๐—ถ๐—ฐ ๐—ถ๐—ป ๐—ฐ๐—ฎ๐˜€๐—ฒ ๐—ผ๐—ณ ๐—ฎ๐—ป๐˜† ๐—ฐ๐—ต๐—ฎ๐—ป๐—ด๐—ฒ ๐˜„๐—ถ๐˜๐—ต ๐˜๐—ตis ๐˜€๐˜†๐˜€๐˜๐—ฒ๐—บ.

๐—–๐—ผ๐—ป๐˜๐—ถ๐—ป๐˜‚๐—ฒ ๐˜๐—ผย ๐—ฐ๐—ต๐—ฒ๐—ฐ๐—ธ ๐˜๐—ต๐—ฒ ๐——๐——๐—  ๐—ฎ๐—ฝ๐—ฝ , ๐—™๐—ฎ๐—ฐ๐—ฒ๐—ฏ๐—ผ๐—ผ๐—ธ, ๐—œ๐—ป๐˜€๐˜๐—ฎ๐—ด๐—ฟ๐—ฎ๐—บ, ๐—ง๐˜„๐—ถ๐˜๐˜๐—ฒ๐—ฟ ๐—ฝ๐—ฎ๐—ด๐—ฒ๐˜€ ๐—ฎ๐—ป๐—ฑ ๐—ผ๐˜‚๐—ฟ ๐˜„๐—ฒ๐—ฏ๐˜€๐—ถ๐˜๐—ฒ ๐˜„๐˜„๐˜„.๐—ฏ๐˜ƒ๐—ถ๐—ฑ๐—ฑ๐—บ.๐—ฐ๐—ผ๐—บ/ ๐—ฑ๐—ฎ๐—ถ๐—น๐˜† ๐—ณ๐—ผ๐—ฟ ๐˜‚๐—ฝ๐—ฑ๐—ฎ๐˜๐—ฒ๐˜€.

๐˜ฟ๐™ž๐™จ๐™˜๐™ก๐™–๐™ž๐™ข๐™š๐™ง: ๐™๐™๐™š ๐˜ฟ๐™š๐™ฅ๐™–๐™ง๐™ฉ๐™ข๐™š๐™ฃ๐™ฉ ๐™ค๐™› ๐˜ฟ๐™ž๐™จ๐™–๐™จ๐™ฉ๐™š๐™ง ๐™ˆ๐™–๐™ฃ๐™–๐™œ๐™š๐™ข๐™š๐™ฃ๐™ฉ (๐˜ฟ๐˜ฟ๐™ˆ) ๐™ž๐™จ ๐™ฃ๐™ค๐™ฉ ๐™–๐™ฃ ๐™ค๐™›๐™›๐™ž๐™˜๐™ž๐™–๐™ก ๐™ˆ๐™š๐™ฉ๐™š๐™ค๐™ง๐™ค๐™ก๐™ค๐™œ๐™ž๐™˜๐™–๐™ก ๐™Š๐™›๐™›๐™ž๐™˜๐™š. ๐™๐™๐™š ๐™„๐™ฃ๐™›๐™ค๐™ง๐™ข๐™–๐™ฉ๐™ž๐™ค๐™ฃ ๐™™๐™ž๐™จ๐™จ๐™š๐™ข๐™ž๐™ฃ๐™–๐™ฉ๐™š๐™™ ๐™—๐™ฎ ๐™ฉ๐™๐™š ๐˜ฟ๐™š๐™ฅ๐™–๐™ง๐™ฉ๐™ข๐™š๐™ฃ๐™ฉ ๐™ž๐™จ ๐™œ๐™–๐™ฉ๐™๐™š๐™ง๐™š๐™™ ๐™›๐™ง๐™ค๐™ข ๐™– ๐™ฃ๐™ช๐™ข๐™—๐™š๐™ง ๐™ค๐™› ๐™ฅ๐™ง๐™ค๐™›๐™š๐™จ๐™จ๐™ž๐™ค๐™ฃ๐™–๐™ก ๐™จ๐™ค๐™ช๐™ง๐™˜๐™š๐™จ ๐™ช๐™จ๐™š๐™™ ๐™ค๐™ง ๐™˜๐™ค๐™ฃ๐™ฉ๐™ง๐™–๐™˜๐™ฉ๐™š๐™™ ๐™—๐™ฎ ๐™ฉ๐™๐™š ๐˜ฟ๐˜ฟ๐™ˆ ๐™ฉ๐™ค ๐™ž๐™ข๐™ฅ๐™ง๐™ค๐™ซ๐™ž๐™™๐™š ๐™จ๐™ช๐™˜๐™ ๐™ž๐™ฃ๐™›๐™ค๐™ง๐™ข๐™–๐™ฉ๐™ž๐™ค๐™ฃ. ๐™๐™๐™ž๐™จ ๐™ž๐™ฃ๐™›๐™ค๐™ง๐™ข๐™–๐™ฉ๐™ž๐™ค๐™ฃ ๐™ž๐™จ ๐™ฉ๐™ค ๐™—๐™š ๐™ช๐™จ๐™š๐™™ ๐™–๐™จ ๐™– ๐™œ๐™ช๐™ž๐™™๐™š ๐™—๐™ฎ ๐™–๐™ฃ๐™ฎ๐™ค๐™ฃ๐™š ๐™ฌ๐™๐™ค ๐™๐™–๐™จ ๐™ž๐™ฃ๐™ฉ๐™š๐™ง๐™š๐™จ๐™ฉ ๐™ž๐™ฃ ๐™ก๐™ค๐™˜๐™–๐™ก ๐™ฌ๐™š๐™–๐™ฉ๐™๐™š๐™ง ๐™˜๐™ค๐™ฃ๐™™๐™ž๐™ฉ๐™ž๐™ค๐™ฃ๐™จ. ๐˜ฝ๐™ฎ ๐™ฃ๐™ค ๐™ข๐™š๐™–๐™ฃ๐™จ ๐™˜๐™–๐™ฃ ๐˜ฟ๐˜ฟ๐™ˆ ๐™ค๐™ง ๐™ฉ๐™๐™š ๐˜ฝ๐™‘๐™„ ๐™‚๐™ค๐™ซ๐™š๐™ง๐™ฃ๐™ข๐™š๐™ฃ๐™ฉ ๐™—๐™š ๐™๐™š๐™ก๐™™ ๐™–๐™˜๐™˜๐™ค๐™ช๐™ฃ๐™ฉ๐™–๐™—๐™ก๐™š ๐™—๐™ฎ ๐™–๐™ฃ๐™ฎ๐™ค๐™ฃ๐™š ๐™ฌ๐™๐™ค ๐™ช๐™จ๐™š๐™จ ๐™ฉ๐™๐™ž๐™จ ๐™ž๐™ฃ๐™›๐™ค๐™ง๐™ข๐™–๐™ฉ๐™ž๐™ค๐™ฃ ๐™–๐™ฅ๐™ฅ๐™ง๐™ค๐™ฅ๐™ง๐™ž๐™–๐™ฉ๐™š๐™ก๐™ฎ ๐™›๐™ค๐™ง ๐™ก๐™š๐™œ๐™–๐™ก ๐™š๐™ซ๐™ž๐™™๐™š๐™ฃ๐™˜๐™š ๐™ค๐™ง ๐™ž๐™ฃ ๐™Ÿ๐™ช๐™จ๐™ฉ๐™ž๐™›๐™ž๐™˜๐™–๐™ฉ๐™ž๐™ค๐™ฃ ๐™ค๐™› ๐™–๐™ฃ๐™ฎ ๐™™๐™š๐™˜๐™ž๐™จ๐™ž๐™ค๐™ฃ ๐™ฌ๐™๐™ž๐™˜๐™ ๐™ข๐™–๐™ฎ ๐™ง๐™š๐™จ๐™ช๐™ก๐™ฉ ๐™ž๐™ฃ ๐™ฉ๐™๐™š ๐™ก๐™ค๐™จ๐™จ ๐™ค๐™› ๐™›๐™ž๐™ฃ๐™–๐™ฃ๐™˜๐™š๐™จ, ๐™ฅ๐™ง๐™ค๐™ฅ๐™š๐™ง๐™ฉ๐™ฎ ๐™ค๐™ง ๐™ก๐™ž๐™›๐™š.