10TH September 2020 –Today September 10 is typically seen as the mid-point/peak of the Atlantic Hurricane Season. Presently the National Hurricane Centre is monitoring 6 tropical systems in the Atlantic. The two tropical storms Paulette and Rene are not a threat to the Virgin Islands. Two other disturbances are in the vicinity of the United States and the Bahamas and are not a threat also. The two remaining disturbances 3 & 4 will need to be monitored especially disturbance 3. Disturbance 3 at this point has a high potential of reaching the North East Caribbean a week from now as a Tropical or a Hurricane. Residents should continue to monitor Disturbance 3 as it progresses and be ready if action is needed.
Disturbance 3 is centered near 12N 15W. The disturbance is moving to the west at 15 mph. Disturbance 3 is expected to emerge off of the coast of Africa today. This system may then develop into a tropical depression as it passes just south of the Cabo Verde Islands on Friday. Afterward, it will track in a west to west-northwesterly direction across the tropical Atlantic. There are indications from our model guidance that this disturbance will pass near the northeastern Caribbean in a week from now. There is a 90 percent chance that the system will develop over the next 5 days.
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Disclaimer: The Department of Disaster Management (DDM) is not an official Meteorological Office. The Information disseminated by the Department is gathered from a number of professional sources used or contracted by the DDM to provide such information. This information is to be used as a guide by anyone who has interest in local weather conditions. By no means can the DDM or the BVI Government be held accountable by anyone who uses this information appropriately for legal evidence or in justification of any decision which may result in the loss of finances, property or life.
