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Forecasters Maintain ‘Near Average’ Expectations for Hurricane Season

Forecasters Maintain ‘Near Average’ Expectations for Hurricane Season

August 5, 20191742Views

The August 5 forecast from Colorado State University’s Department of Atmospheric Science has maintained the previous prediction that the 2019 Atlantic Hurricane Season will see activity levels close to the 1981 to 2010 average.

The university’s latest Atlantic Basin Seasonal Hurricane Forecast cited the differing temperatures in the eastern and central Atlantic, as well as the differences in air moisture, and stated that, “current conditions in the tropical Atlantic and Caribbean present mixed signals for the remainder of the season.”

In addition to early arrival Andrea and Barry in July, forecasters expect 12 named storms this season, including six hurricanes. Of those, two are expected to be major storms of Category 3, 4 or 5 strength, according to the report.

The report also details that while forecasters continue to observe a weak El Nino in the Atlantic Basin, the phenomenon is unlikely to influence the area.

Starting now and through the end of the peak of the season in October, the university will issue forecasts every two weeks.

Director of the Department for Disaster Management, Mrs. Sharleen DaBreo-Lettsome, MBE, encouraged persons in the Territory to view the updated forecast as reminder to finalise their emergency kits, test their family and business emergency plans, and monitor conditions to stay aware of any approaching storm conditions.

Mrs. DaBreo-Lettsome said, “As the height of the season approaches, it becomes even more important to maintain readiness and monitor weather conditions. Late summer and early fall tend to be the most active in terms of storm activity for our region, and the best way to ensure we stay safe as a territory is to remain prepared.”

For regular updates on individual weather systems and other potential hazards, download the DDM app, follow the department on social media, or subscribe for updates on this site.