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Tropical Atlantic Weather Forecast

Tropical Atlantic Weather Forecast

August 28, 2022552Views

Forecasters state:

#1 This tropical disturbance is located along 44W, or about 1045 miles east of Barbados. It is moving to the west near 15 mph. We expect the forward speed of the disturbance to decrease over the next 2 to 3 days and gradually turn to the west-northwest. The disturbance is expected to reach near or just north of the Leeward Islands late Thursday or Friday and just east of the Bahamas in about a week. Thunderstorms associated with the disturbance remain disorganized more than likely due to influences from some drier Saharan air to the north. Most recent data shows the system developing as it moves west due to more favorable conditions.

The chance of tropical development over the next 48 hours is 20 percent, increasing to 60 percent over the next week.

#2. Central Atlantic: A small low pressure system located about 600 miles east of Bermuda continues to produce occasional, disorganized shower activity. Strong upper-level winds and dry air are expected to limit significant development of this system while it meanders over the central Atlantic during the next few days, and the low is likely to dissipate by midweek.

* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days…low…10 percent.

#3. Northwestern Caribbean Sea: A trough of low pressure could develop over the northwestern Caribbean Sea during the middle part of this week. Environmental conditions could support some slow development of the system thereafter while it moves generally west-northwestward over the northwestern Caribbean Sea and toward the Yucatan Peninsula of Mexico.

* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days…low…20 percent.

#4. Eastern Tropical Atlantic: A tropical wave is forecast to move off the west coast of Africa Monday or Monday night. Some gradual development of the system is possible after that time while it moves generally westward across the far eastern tropical Atlantic.

* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days…low…20 percent.

๐—”๐˜ ๐˜๐—ต๐—ถ๐˜€ ๐˜๐—ถ๐—บ๐—ฒ ๐˜๐—ต๐—ถ๐˜€ ๐˜€๐˜†๐˜€๐˜๐—ฒ๐—บ ๐—ถ๐˜€ ๐—ฐ๐˜‚๐—ฟ๐—ฟ๐—ฒ๐—ป๐˜๐—น๐˜† ๐—ป๐—ผ ๐˜๐—ต๐—ฟ๐—ฒ๐—ฎ๐˜ ๐˜๐—ผ ๐˜๐—ต๐—ฒ ๐—ฉ๐—ถ๐—ฟ๐—ด๐—ถ๐—ป ๐—œ๐˜€๐—น๐—ฎ๐—ป๐—ฑ๐˜€, ๐˜๐—ต๐—ฒ๐—ฟ๐—ฒ ๐—ฎ๐—ฟ๐—ฒ ๐—ป๐—ผ ๐˜„๐—ฎ๐˜๐—ฐ๐—ต๐—ฒ๐˜€ ๐—ผ๐—ฟ ๐˜„๐—ฎ๐—ฟ๐—ป๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ด๐˜€ ๐—ณ๐—ผ๐—ฟ ๐˜๐—ต๐—ฒ ๐—ฉ๐—ถ๐—ฟ๐—ด๐—ถ๐—ป ๐—œ๐˜€๐—น๐—ฎ๐—ป๐—ฑ๐˜€. ๐—ฃ๐—ฒ๐—ฟ๐˜€๐—ผ๐—ป๐˜€ ๐—บ๐˜‚๐˜€๐˜ ๐—ฐ๐—ผ๐—ป๐˜๐—ถ๐—ป๐˜‚๐—ฒ ๐˜๐—ผ ๐—บ๐—ผ๐—ป๐—ถ๐˜๐—ผ๐—ฟ ๐˜๐—ต๐—ฒ ๐—”๐˜๐—น๐—ฎ๐—ป๐˜๐—ถ๐—ฐ ๐—ถ๐—ป ๐—ฐ๐—ฎ๐˜€๐—ฒ ๐—ผ๐—ณ ๐—ฎ๐—ป๐˜† ๐—ฐ๐—ต๐—ฎ๐—ป๐—ด๐—ฒ ๐˜„๐—ถ๐˜๐—ต ๐˜๐—ต๐—ถ๐˜€ ๐˜€๐˜†๐˜€๐˜๐—ฒ๐—บ.

๐—–๐—ผ๐—ป๐˜๐—ถ๐—ป๐˜‚๐—ฒ ๐˜๐—ผ ๐—ฐ๐—ต๐—ฒ๐—ฐ๐—ธ ๐˜๐—ต๐—ฒ ๐——๐——๐—  ๐—ฎ๐—ฝ๐—ฝ , ๐—™๐—ฎ๐—ฐ๐—ฒ๐—ฏ๐—ผ๐—ผ๐—ธ, ๐—œ๐—ป๐˜€๐˜๐—ฎ๐—ด๐—ฟ๐—ฎ๐—บ, ๐—ง๐˜„๐—ถ๐˜๐˜๐—ฒ๐—ฟ ๐—ฝ๐—ฎ๐—ด๐—ฒ๐˜€ ๐—ฎ๐—ป๐—ฑ ๐—ผ๐˜‚๐—ฟ ๐˜„๐—ฒ๐—ฏ๐˜€๐—ถ๐˜๐—ฒ ๐˜„๐˜„๐˜„.๐—ฏ๐˜ƒ๐—ถ๐—ฑ๐—ฑ๐—บ.๐—ฐ๐—ผ๐—บ/ ๐—ฑ๐—ฎ๐—ถ๐—น๐˜† ๐—ณ๐—ผ๐—ฟ ๐˜‚๐—ฝ๐—ฑ๐—ฎ๐˜๐—ฒ๐˜€.

๐˜ฟ๐™ž๐™จ๐™˜๐™ก๐™–๐™ž๐™ข๐™š๐™ง: ๐™๐™๐™š ๐˜ฟ๐™š๐™ฅ๐™–๐™ง๐™ฉ๐™ข๐™š๐™ฃ๐™ฉ ๐™ค๐™› ๐˜ฟ๐™ž๐™จ๐™–๐™จ๐™ฉ๐™š๐™ง ๐™ˆ๐™–๐™ฃ๐™–๐™œ๐™š๐™ข๐™š๐™ฃ๐™ฉ (๐˜ฟ๐˜ฟ๐™ˆ) ๐™ž๐™จ ๐™ฃ๐™ค๐™ฉ ๐™–๐™ฃ ๐™ค๐™›๐™›๐™ž๐™˜๐™ž๐™–๐™ก ๐™ˆ๐™š๐™ฉ๐™š๐™ค๐™ง๐™ค๐™ก๐™ค๐™œ๐™ž๐™˜๐™–๐™ก ๐™Š๐™›๐™›๐™ž๐™˜๐™š. ๐™๐™๐™š ๐™„๐™ฃ๐™›๐™ค๐™ง๐™ข๐™–๐™ฉ๐™ž๐™ค๐™ฃ ๐™™๐™ž๐™จ๐™จ๐™š๐™ข๐™ž๐™ฃ๐™–๐™ฉ๐™š๐™™ ๐™—๐™ฎ ๐™ฉ๐™๐™š ๐˜ฟ๐™š๐™ฅ๐™–๐™ง๐™ฉ๐™ข๐™š๐™ฃ๐™ฉ ๐™ž๐™จ ๐™œ๐™–๐™ฉ๐™๐™š๐™ง๐™š๐™™ ๐™›๐™ง๐™ค๐™ข ๐™– ๐™ฃ๐™ช๐™ข๐™—๐™š๐™ง ๐™ค๐™› ๐™ฅ๐™ง๐™ค๐™›๐™š๐™จ๐™จ๐™ž๐™ค๐™ฃ๐™–๐™ก ๐™จ๐™ค๐™ช๐™ง๐™˜๐™š๐™จ ๐™ช๐™จ๐™š๐™™ ๐™ค๐™ง ๐™˜๐™ค๐™ฃ๐™ฉ๐™ง๐™–๐™˜๐™ฉ๐™š๐™™ ๐™—๐™ฎ ๐™ฉ๐™๐™š ๐˜ฟ๐˜ฟ๐™ˆ ๐™ฉ๐™ค ๐™ž๐™ข๐™ฅ๐™ง๐™ค๐™ซ๐™ž๐™™๐™š ๐™จ๐™ช๐™˜๐™ ๐™ž๐™ฃ๐™›๐™ค๐™ง๐™ข๐™–๐™ฉ๐™ž๐™ค๐™ฃ. ๐™๐™๐™ž๐™จ ๐™ž๐™ฃ๐™›๐™ค๐™ง๐™ข๐™–๐™ฉ๐™ž๐™ค๐™ฃ ๐™ž๐™จ ๐™ฉ๐™ค ๐™—๐™š ๐™ช๐™จ๐™š๐™™ ๐™–๐™จ ๐™– ๐™œ๐™ช๐™ž๐™™๐™š ๐™—๐™ฎ ๐™–๐™ฃ๐™ฎ๐™ค๐™ฃ๐™š ๐™ฌ๐™๐™ค ๐™๐™–๐™จ ๐™ž๐™ฃ๐™ฉ๐™š๐™ง๐™š๐™จ๐™ฉ ๐™ž๐™ฃ ๐™ก๐™ค๐™˜๐™–๐™ก ๐™ฌ๐™š๐™–๐™ฉ๐™๐™š๐™ง ๐™˜๐™ค๐™ฃ๐™™๐™ž๐™ฉ๐™ž๐™ค๐™ฃ๐™จ. ๐˜ฝ๐™ฎ ๐™ฃ๐™ค ๐™ข๐™š๐™–๐™ฃ๐™จ ๐™˜๐™–๐™ฃ ๐˜ฟ๐˜ฟ๐™ˆ ๐™ค๐™ง ๐™ฉ๐™๐™š ๐˜ฝ๐™‘๐™„ ๐™‚๐™ค๐™ซ๐™š๐™ง๐™ฃ๐™ข๐™š๐™ฃ๐™ฉ ๐™—๐™š ๐™๐™š๐™ก๐™™ ๐™–๐™˜๐™˜๐™ค๐™ช๐™ฃ๐™ฉ๐™–๐™—๐™ก๐™š ๐™—๐™ฎ ๐™–๐™ฃ๐™ฎ๐™ค๐™ฃ๐™š ๐™ฌ๐™๐™ค ๐™ช๐™จ๐™š๐™จ ๐™ฉ๐™๐™ž๐™จ ๐™ž๐™ฃ๐™›๐™ค๐™ง๐™ข๐™–๐™ฉ๐™ž๐™ค๐™ฃ ๐™–๐™ฅ๐™ฅ๐™ง๐™ค๐™ฅ๐™ง๐™ž๐™–๐™ฉ๐™š๐™ก๐™ฎ ๐™›๐™ค๐™ง ๐™ก๐™š๐™œ๐™–๐™ก ๐™š๐™ซ๐™ž๐™™๐™š๐™ฃ๐™˜๐™š ๐™ค๐™ง ๐™ž๐™ฃ ๐™Ÿ๐™ช๐™จ๐™ฉ๐™ž๐™›๐™ž๐™˜๐™–๐™ฉ๐™ž๐™ค๐™ฃ ๐™ค๐™› ๐™–๐™ฃ๐™ฎ ๐™™๐™š๐™˜๐™ž๐™จ๐™ž๐™ค๐™ฃ ๐™ฌ๐™๐™ž๐™˜๐™ ๐™ข๐™–๐™ฎ ๐™ง๐™š๐™จ๐™ช๐™ก๐™ฉ ๐™ž๐™ฃ ๐™ฉ๐™๐™š ๐™ก๐™ค๐™จ๐™จ ๐™ค๐™› ๐™›๐™ž๐™ฃ๐™–๐™ฃ๐™˜๐™š๐™จ, ๐™ฅ๐™ง๐™ค๐™ฅ๐™š๐™ง๐™ฉ๐™ฎ ๐™ค๐™ง ๐™ก๐™ž๐™›๐™š..