Forecasters state:
#1 This tropical disturbance is located along 44W, or about 1045 miles east of Barbados. It is moving to the west near 15 mph. We expect the forward speed of the disturbance to decrease over the next 2 to 3 days and gradually turn to the west-northwest. The disturbance is expected to reach near or just north of the Leeward Islands late Thursday or Friday and just east of the Bahamas in about a week. Thunderstorms associated with the disturbance remain disorganized more than likely due to influences from some drier Saharan air to the north. Most recent data shows the system developing as it moves west due to more favorable conditions.
The chance of tropical development over the next 48 hours is 20 percent, increasing to 60 percent over the next week.
#2. Central Atlantic: A small low pressure system located about 600 miles east of Bermuda continues to produce occasional, disorganized shower activity. Strong upper-level winds and dry air are expected to limit significant development of this system while it meanders over the central Atlantic during the next few days, and the low is likely to dissipate by midweek.
* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days…low…10 percent.
#3. Northwestern Caribbean Sea: A trough of low pressure could develop over the northwestern Caribbean Sea during the middle part of this week. Environmental conditions could support some slow development of the system thereafter while it moves generally west-northwestward over the northwestern Caribbean Sea and toward the Yucatan Peninsula of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days…low…20 percent.
#4. Eastern Tropical Atlantic: A tropical wave is forecast to move off the west coast of Africa Monday or Monday night. Some gradual development of the system is possible after that time while it moves generally westward across the far eastern tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days…low…20 percent.
๐๐ ๐๐ต๐ถ๐ ๐๐ถ๐บ๐ฒ ๐๐ต๐ถ๐ ๐๐๐๐๐ฒ๐บ ๐ถ๐ ๐ฐ๐๐ฟ๐ฟ๐ฒ๐ป๐๐น๐ ๐ป๐ผ ๐๐ต๐ฟ๐ฒ๐ฎ๐ ๐๐ผ ๐๐ต๐ฒ ๐ฉ๐ถ๐ฟ๐ด๐ถ๐ป ๐๐๐น๐ฎ๐ป๐ฑ๐, ๐๐ต๐ฒ๐ฟ๐ฒ ๐ฎ๐ฟ๐ฒ ๐ป๐ผ ๐๐ฎ๐๐ฐ๐ต๐ฒ๐ ๐ผ๐ฟ ๐๐ฎ๐ฟ๐ป๐ถ๐ป๐ด๐ ๐ณ๐ผ๐ฟ ๐๐ต๐ฒ ๐ฉ๐ถ๐ฟ๐ด๐ถ๐ป ๐๐๐น๐ฎ๐ป๐ฑ๐. ๐ฃ๐ฒ๐ฟ๐๐ผ๐ป๐ ๐บ๐๐๐ ๐ฐ๐ผ๐ป๐๐ถ๐ป๐๐ฒ ๐๐ผ ๐บ๐ผ๐ป๐ถ๐๐ผ๐ฟ ๐๐ต๐ฒ ๐๐๐น๐ฎ๐ป๐๐ถ๐ฐ ๐ถ๐ป ๐ฐ๐ฎ๐๐ฒ ๐ผ๐ณ ๐ฎ๐ป๐ ๐ฐ๐ต๐ฎ๐ป๐ด๐ฒ ๐๐ถ๐๐ต ๐๐ต๐ถ๐ ๐๐๐๐๐ฒ๐บ.
๐๐ผ๐ป๐๐ถ๐ป๐๐ฒ ๐๐ผ ๐ฐ๐ต๐ฒ๐ฐ๐ธ ๐๐ต๐ฒ ๐๐๐ ๐ฎ๐ฝ๐ฝ , ๐๐ฎ๐ฐ๐ฒ๐ฏ๐ผ๐ผ๐ธ, ๐๐ป๐๐๐ฎ๐ด๐ฟ๐ฎ๐บ, ๐ง๐๐ถ๐๐๐ฒ๐ฟ ๐ฝ๐ฎ๐ด๐ฒ๐ ๐ฎ๐ป๐ฑ ๐ผ๐๐ฟ ๐๐ฒ๐ฏ๐๐ถ๐๐ฒ ๐๐๐.๐ฏ๐๐ถ๐ฑ๐ฑ๐บ.๐ฐ๐ผ๐บ/ ๐ฑ๐ฎ๐ถ๐น๐ ๐ณ๐ผ๐ฟ ๐๐ฝ๐ฑ๐ฎ๐๐ฒ๐.
๐ฟ๐๐จ๐๐ก๐๐๐ข๐๐ง: ๐๐๐ ๐ฟ๐๐ฅ๐๐ง๐ฉ๐ข๐๐ฃ๐ฉ ๐ค๐ ๐ฟ๐๐จ๐๐จ๐ฉ๐๐ง ๐๐๐ฃ๐๐๐๐ข๐๐ฃ๐ฉ (๐ฟ๐ฟ๐) ๐๐จ ๐ฃ๐ค๐ฉ ๐๐ฃ ๐ค๐๐๐๐๐๐๐ก ๐๐๐ฉ๐๐ค๐ง๐ค๐ก๐ค๐๐๐๐๐ก ๐๐๐๐๐๐. ๐๐๐ ๐๐ฃ๐๐ค๐ง๐ข๐๐ฉ๐๐ค๐ฃ ๐๐๐จ๐จ๐๐ข๐๐ฃ๐๐ฉ๐๐ ๐๐ฎ ๐ฉ๐๐ ๐ฟ๐๐ฅ๐๐ง๐ฉ๐ข๐๐ฃ๐ฉ ๐๐จ ๐๐๐ฉ๐๐๐ง๐๐ ๐๐ง๐ค๐ข ๐ ๐ฃ๐ช๐ข๐๐๐ง ๐ค๐ ๐ฅ๐ง๐ค๐๐๐จ๐จ๐๐ค๐ฃ๐๐ก ๐จ๐ค๐ช๐ง๐๐๐จ ๐ช๐จ๐๐ ๐ค๐ง ๐๐ค๐ฃ๐ฉ๐ง๐๐๐ฉ๐๐ ๐๐ฎ ๐ฉ๐๐ ๐ฟ๐ฟ๐ ๐ฉ๐ค ๐๐ข๐ฅ๐ง๐ค๐ซ๐๐๐ ๐จ๐ช๐๐ ๐๐ฃ๐๐ค๐ง๐ข๐๐ฉ๐๐ค๐ฃ. ๐๐๐๐จ ๐๐ฃ๐๐ค๐ง๐ข๐๐ฉ๐๐ค๐ฃ ๐๐จ ๐ฉ๐ค ๐๐ ๐ช๐จ๐๐ ๐๐จ ๐ ๐๐ช๐๐๐ ๐๐ฎ ๐๐ฃ๐ฎ๐ค๐ฃ๐ ๐ฌ๐๐ค ๐๐๐จ ๐๐ฃ๐ฉ๐๐ง๐๐จ๐ฉ ๐๐ฃ ๐ก๐ค๐๐๐ก ๐ฌ๐๐๐ฉ๐๐๐ง ๐๐ค๐ฃ๐๐๐ฉ๐๐ค๐ฃ๐จ. ๐ฝ๐ฎ ๐ฃ๐ค ๐ข๐๐๐ฃ๐จ ๐๐๐ฃ ๐ฟ๐ฟ๐ ๐ค๐ง ๐ฉ๐๐ ๐ฝ๐๐ ๐๐ค๐ซ๐๐ง๐ฃ๐ข๐๐ฃ๐ฉ ๐๐ ๐๐๐ก๐ ๐๐๐๐ค๐ช๐ฃ๐ฉ๐๐๐ก๐ ๐๐ฎ ๐๐ฃ๐ฎ๐ค๐ฃ๐ ๐ฌ๐๐ค ๐ช๐จ๐๐จ ๐ฉ๐๐๐จ ๐๐ฃ๐๐ค๐ง๐ข๐๐ฉ๐๐ค๐ฃ ๐๐ฅ๐ฅ๐ง๐ค๐ฅ๐ง๐๐๐ฉ๐๐ก๐ฎ ๐๐ค๐ง ๐ก๐๐๐๐ก ๐๐ซ๐๐๐๐ฃ๐๐ ๐ค๐ง ๐๐ฃ ๐๐ช๐จ๐ฉ๐๐๐๐๐๐ฉ๐๐ค๐ฃ ๐ค๐ ๐๐ฃ๐ฎ ๐๐๐๐๐จ๐๐ค๐ฃ ๐ฌ๐๐๐๐ ๐ข๐๐ฎ ๐ง๐๐จ๐ช๐ก๐ฉ ๐๐ฃ ๐ฉ๐๐ ๐ก๐ค๐จ๐จ ๐ค๐ ๐๐๐ฃ๐๐ฃ๐๐๐จ, ๐ฅ๐ง๐ค๐ฅ๐๐ง๐ฉ๐ฎ ๐ค๐ง ๐ก๐๐๐..