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TROPICAL CYCLONE ALERT STATEMENT

TROPICAL CYCLONE ALERT STATEMENT

October 15, 2023277Views

ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA METEOROLOGICAL SERVICES

TROPICAL DISTURBANCE AL94 CONTINUES TO MOVE TOWARD THE CARIBBEAN…

THE ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA METEOROLOGICAL SERVICES CONTINUES TO FOLLOW THE PROGRESS OF TROPICAL DISTURBANCE AL94, WHICH COULD AFFECT THE LEEWARD ISLANDS AND THE BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS LATE NEXT WEEK.

DUE TO THE DISTANCE AWAY AND THE FACT THAT IT IS NOT YET A TROPICAL CYCLONE, THERE IS INHERENTLY HIGH UNCERTAINTY IN THE EVENTUAL FORECAST TRACK AND INTENSITY OF AL94.

NOTWITHSTANDING, AT THE REASONABLE WORST-CASE SCENARIO, THE SYSTEM POSES Little THREAT TO THE ISLANDS, AT THIS TIME. THIS THREAT IS LIKELY TO INCREASE IN THE COMING DAYS. TO BE SAFE, HAVE YOUR HURRICANE DISASTER PLAN PREPARED AND CLOSELY MONITOR

THE CENTRE OF TROPICAL DISTURBANCE AL94 WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 9.5 NORTH, LONGITUDE 32.0 WEST OR ABOUT 2061 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS MOVING WEST AT AROUND 13 MPH. A WEST TO WEST-NORTHWEST TRACK IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS.

Environmental CONDITIONS ARE BECOMING MORE CONDUCIVE FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT, AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION OR TROPICAL STORM IS LIKELY TO FORM WITHIN THE NEXT COUPLE OF Days. BASED ON THE FORECAST MODELS, THE CENTRE OF WHAT COULD BE TROPICAL STORM OR HURRICANE TAMMY COULD BE NEAR THE AREA ON FRIDAY AND OR SATURDAY. NEVERTHELESS, IT IS TOO EARLY TO DISCUSS POTENTIAL HAZARDS ASSOCIATED WITH THE SYSTEM.

NO TROPICAL CYCLONE ALERTS, WATCHES OR WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT, AT THIS TIME; HOWEVER, AN ALERT IS POSSIBLE BY MONDAY, IF THE SYSTEM CONTINUES ON ITS PRESENT PATH.

RESIDENTS SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR THIS TROPICAL SYSTEM. ALL ARE ALSO STRONGLY ENCOURAGED TO STAY PREPARED FOR THE REST OF THE HURRICANE SEASON.

FORECASTER DALE DESTIN

 

 

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Here are the links for our BVIDDM EMERGENCY APP

 

https://apps.apple.com/ie/app/bviddm-emergency-app/id6449369372

 

https://play.google.com/store/apps/details?id=com.bviddmapp

 

 

Disclaimer: The Department of Disaster Management (DDM) is not a Meteorological Office. Information shared by the Department is gathered from a number of professional sources contracted by the Department. This information should be used as a guide for anyone who has an interest in local weather conditions. By no means can DDM or the Government of the Virgin Islands be held accountable by anyone who uses this information appropriately for legal evidence or in justification of any decision which may result in the loss of finances, property or life.