…DISTURBANCE CONTINUES TO MOVE RAPIDLY WEST-NORTHWESTWARD…
SUMMARY OF 800 PM AST…0000 UTC…INFORMATION
———————————————-
LOCATION…13.9N 49.1W
ABOUT 875 MI…1405 KM ESE OF ANTIGUA/ 934 MILES SSE OF ROAD TOWN
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…30 MPH…45 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT…WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 23 MPH…37 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…1009 MB…29.80 INCHES
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for…
* Guadeloupe
* St. Kitts, Nevis, Montserrat, Antigua, Barbuda, and Anguilla
* Saba and St. Eustatius
* St. Martin
* Sint Maarten
A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours.
Interests elsewhere in the Leeward Islands, the British and U.S.
Virgin Islands, and Puerto Rico should monitor the progress of
Potential Tropical Cyclone Five. Additional watches could be
required later tonight or early Monday.
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
———————-
At 800 PM AST (0000 UTC), the disturbance was centered near latitude 13.9 North, longitude 49.1 West. The system is moving toward the west-northwest near 23 mph (37 km/h) and this motion is expected to continue during the next couple of days.
饾棦饾椈 饾榿饾椀饾棽 饾棾饾椉饾椏饾棽饾棸饾棶饾榾饾榿 饾榿饾椏饾棶饾棸饾椄, 饾榿饾椀饾棽 饾棻饾椂饾榾饾榿饾槀饾椏饾棷饾棶饾椈饾棸饾棽 饾椂饾榾 饾棽饾槄饾椊饾棽饾棸饾榿饾棽饾棻 饾榿饾椉 饾椇饾椉饾槂饾棽 饾棶饾棸饾椏饾椉饾榾饾榾 饾椊饾椉饾椏饾榿饾椂饾椉饾椈饾榾 饾椉饾棾 饾榿饾椀饾棽 饾棢饾棽饾棽饾槃饾棶饾椏饾棻 饾棞饾榾饾椆饾棶饾椈饾棻饾榾 饾椉饾椈 饾棫饾槀饾棽饾榾饾棻饾棶饾槅 饾棶饾椈饾棻 饾棶饾椊饾椊饾椏饾椉饾棶饾棸饾椀 饾榿饾椀饾棽 饾棬.饾棪. 饾棶饾椈饾棻 饾棔饾椏饾椂饾榿饾椂饾榾饾椀 饾棭饾椂饾椏饾棿饾椂饾椈 饾棞饾榾饾椆饾棶饾椈饾棻饾榾
饾棫饾槀饾棽饾榾饾棻饾棶饾槅 饾椈饾椂饾棿饾椀饾榿.
Maximum sustained winds are near 30 mph (45 km/h) with higher
gusts. Some strengthening is forecast, and the system is expected to become a tropical storm by late Monday.
* Formation chance through 48 hours…high…80 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days…high…90 percent.
The estimated minimum central pressure is 1009 mb (29.80 inches).
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
———————-
Key messages for Potential Tropical Cyclone Five can be found inthe Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT5 and WMO
header WTNT45 KNHC and on the web at hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDAT5.shtml.
RAINFALL: Potential Tropical Cyclone Five is expected to produce
total rain accumulations of 4 to 6 inches over the northern Leeward
Islands. For Puerto Rico, 3 to 6 inches of rainfall, with maximum
amounts of 10 inches, is expected.
For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall associated with
Potential Tropical Cyclone Five, please see the National Weather
Service Storm Total Rainfall Graphic, available at
hurricanes.gov/graphics_at5.shtml?rainqpf
Elsewhere in the Caribbean, Potential Tropical Cyclone Five is
expected to produce the following rain accumulations through Friday
morning:
Windward Islands… 1 to 2 inches
Southern Leeward Islands… 2 to 4 inches
Eastern Hispaniola… 2 to 4 inches.
WIND: Tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch
area beginning Tuesday.
SURF: Swells generated by the system will likely begin to affect
portions of the Leeward Islands beginning Monday night. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current
conditions. Please consult products from your local weather
office.
The Virgin Islands will continue to monitor this cyclone as we maybe placed under a Tropical Storm Watch within the next few hours. There is a possiblity that things may change as we continue to monitor all updates on this system.
Residents should continue to closely monitor this system and work to complete any seasonal preparations in case this system develops into a threat for the Virgin Islands
For more information, see the link below: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCPAT5+shtml/112335.shtml
Disclaimer: The Department of Disaster Management (DDM) is not a Meteorological Office. Information shared by the Department is gathered from a number of professional sources contracted by the Department. This information should be used as a guide for anyone who has an interest in local weather conditions. By no means can DDM or the Government of the Virgin Islands be held accountable by anyone who uses this information appropriately for legal evidence or in justification of any decision which may result in the loss of finances, property or life.
