TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 37
Tropical
Disturbance 37 is located near 14.3N/51W or 500 miles east of the Leeward
Islands. The Disturbance is moving west at 15mph. Satellite images are showing signs of showers and thunderstorms some of which can be heavy at times. The National
Hurricane Centre has given this disturbance a 10% chance of development as of this
forecast. The disturbance has the potential to affect the territory beginning
tomorrow.
TROPICAL DISTURBANCE
38
Current Location: 11.6N/35.1W
Geographic Reference: 750 miles west-southwest of the southernmost Cape Verde Islands
Movement: West-northwest at 14 mph
Maximum Winds: 30 mph gusting to 40 mph
Organizational Trend: Unchanged
Chance of Development into
Tropical Storm Within 48 Hours: 75 percent
Chance of Development into
Tropical Storm Beyond 48 Hours: 90 percent
Forecast Track
Confidence: Average due to good model consensus and
well-defined steering flow.
Forecast:
Forecasters expect a steady west to west-northwest track
over the next several days in the well-defined steering flow south of the
Bermuda-Azores High. On this track, the center of this system could be near the
northern Leeward Islands by midday Sunday.
Conditions favor steady development over the next
several days. There is a high chance that this system will become the next
tropical depression and then Tropical Storm Maria. By the time it reaches the
Leeward Islands, it could be a strong tropical storm, or even hurricane.
Expected Impacts on Land:
Leeward Islands: By Saturday night to early Sunday morning the first squalls could
be reaching the islands.
The Department of Disaster Management is currently
monitoring the situation and will provide updates accordingly. Residents are
reminded that we are in the peak of the Hurricane Season and all preparations
should be made. Please visit the DDM website at www.bviddm.com and subscribe to
our notification link for further updates.
Disclaimer: The Department of Disaster
Management (DDM) is not an official Meteorological Office. The Information
disseminated by the Department is gathered from a number of professional
sources used or contracted by the DDM to provide such information. This
information is to be used as a guide by anyone who has interest in local
weather conditions. By no means can the DDM or the BVI Government be held
accountable by anyone who uses this information appropriately for legal
evidence or in justification of any decision which may result in the loss of
finances, property or life.
