TROPICAL STORM DANNY NEARING THE LEEWARD ISLANDS
LOCATION: 15.8 degrees North, 60.5 degrees West
DISTANCE: ABOUT 306 MILES EAST SOUTH EAST OF THE BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS
MOVEMENT: WEST NEAR 9 MPH
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS: 40 MPH
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE: 1007 MB
Danny is approaching the Leeward Islands.
Danny likely contains winds of 35 mph with gusts to 45 mph in the squalls. These conditions are beginning to affect the Leeward Islands now, and this will continue through the morning hours and into early afternoon. Danny is expected to weaken to a tropical depression within the next 12 hours after it moves through the Leeward Islands. It should weaken to a remnant low or tropical wave within the next 24 hours. Thereafter, regeneration is not expected. Danny will just produce some enhanced showers and storms for the islands of the northeastern Caribbean.
At 5:00 a.m. the centre of Tropical Storm Danny was located near latitude 15.8 degrees north, longitude 60.5 degrees west. Danny is moving toward the west near 15 miles per hour (mph). A westward to west north-west trend is expected in 48 hours.
Maximum sustained winds remain near 40 mph with higher gusts. Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 60 miles. Additional weakening is forecasted during the next 48 hours.
The estimated minimum central pressure is 1007 mb.
Expected Impacts on Land
Danny is down to a 40 mph tropical storm and could weaken to a depression over the next 6 hours. It should weaken to a remnant low or tropical wave in 24 hours. Only minor impacts from heavy rain in squalls are possible. Sustained winds are expected to peak in the 20-25 mph range, with gusts to 35 mph possible. No significant impacts are expected.
Rainfall
General rainfall amounts of 1 to 2 inches are possible mid-afternoon Monday through late Tuesday morning. Significant impacts are not expected.
Storm Surge
No tidal surge is expected.
Residents of the British Virgin Islands are advised to monitor the system as it progresses and keep abreast of updates issued by the Department of Disaster Management.
Visit the DDM website at www.bviddm.com and subscribe for updates, visit our Facebook page at www.facebook.com/bvi.ddm or follow us on Twitter at www.twitter.com/BVIDDM.
Disclaimer: The Department of Disaster Management (DDM) is not an official Meteorological Office. The Information disseminated by the Department is gathered from a number of professional sources used or contracted by the DDM to provide such information. This information is to be used as a guide by anyone who has interest in local weather conditions. By no means can the DDM or the BVI Government be held accountable by anyone who uses this information appropriately for legal evidence or in justification of any decision which may result in the loss of finances, property or life.
