LOCATION: 15.2 degrees north, 50.8 degrees west
DISTANCE: ABOUT 921 MILES EAST SOUTH EAST OF THE BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS
MOVEMENT: WEST NORTH -WEST NEAR 10 MPH
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS: 100 MPH
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE: 982 MB
Hurricane Danny continues to slowly weaken as it encounters wind shear. The shear is expected to persist through the next several days.
Forecasters think Danny is likely to weaken to a tropical storm before impacting the Caribbean. Danny is still predicted to be a strong tropical storm when it approaches the Virgin Islands. A tropical storm watch may be issued for the Virgin Islands later today.
At 5:00 a.m., the centre of Hurricane Danny was located near latitude 15.2 degrees north, longitude 50.8 degrees west. Danny is moving toward the west near 10miles per hour (mph). A turn to the west with increased forward speed is expected today.
Maximum sustained winds remain near 100 mph with higher gusts. Additional weakening is forecast during the next 48 hours.
The estimated minimum central pressure is 982 mb.
Hurricane force winds extend outward 15 miles from the centre while tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 60 miles.
Expected Impacts on Land
Tropical storm conditions are expected late Monday night through Tuesday morning. Sustained winds are expected to peak in the 40-55 mph range. Winds could potentially gust as high as 70 mph, especially for areas that are north of the centre. These winds are expected to cause widespread power outages.
Rainfall
The first squalls are likely to reach the area on Monday afternoon. General rainfall amounts of 4 to 8 inches are expected through Tuesday afternoon. Higher amounts are likely in the mountains. Widespread minor flooding is likely, with some areas of moderate flooding possible. Some landslides are possible. Road conditions could deteriorate and motorists should exercise caution.
Storm Surge
A tidal surge of 1 to 3 feet is possible along the coast accompanied by large waves. Some beach erosion is likely.
Residents of the British Virgin Islands are advised to monitor the system as it progresses and keep abreast of updates issued by the Department of Disaster Management.
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