LOCATION: 15.4 degrees north, 52.0 degrees west
DISTANCE: ABOUT 841 MILES EAST- SOUTHEAST OF THE BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS
MOVEMENT: WEST NORTH -WEST NEAR 12 MPH
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS: 90 MPH
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE: 984 MB
Despite weakening, Hurricane Danny still remains a significant hurricane. Forecasters predict Danny to be a strong tropical storm when it approaches the Caribbean. U.S. Air force reserve and NOAA Hurricane Hunter Aircraft are scheduled to investigate Danny this afternoon.
A Tropical Storm Watch may be issued for the British Virgin Islands later today. Watches are already in effect for Anguilla, Antigua and St.Kitts/Nevis.
At 11:00 a.m., the centre of Hurricane Danny was located near latitude 15.4 degrees north, longitude 52.0 degrees west. Danny is moving toward the west near 12 miles per hour (mph). A turn to the west with increased forward speed is expected today.
Maximum sustained winds remain near 90 mph with higher gusts. Additional weakening is forecast during the next 48 hours.
The estimated minimum central pressure is 984 mb.
Hurricane force winds extend outward 15 miles from the centre while tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 60 miles.
Expected Impacts on Land
Danny is forecast to move through the northern Caribbean as a strong tropical storm next Monday through Wednesday. Heavy rains and strong winds are likely.
Tropical storm conditions are expected late Monday night through Tuesday morning. Sustained winds are expected to peak in the 40-50 mph range. Winds could potentially gust as high as 65 mph, especially for areas that are north of the centre. These winds are expected to cause widespread power outages.
Rainfall
The first squalls are likely to reach the area on Monday afternoon. General rainfall amounts of 4 to 8 inches are expected through Tuesday afternoon. Higher amounts are likely in the mountains. Widespread minor flooding is likely, with some areas of moderate flooding possible. Some landslides are possible. Road conditions could deteriorate and motorists should exercise caution.
Storm Surge
A tidal surge of 1 to 3 feet is possible along the coast accompanied by large waves. Some beach erosion is likely.
Residents of the British Virgin Islands are advised to monitor the system as it progresses and keep abreast of updates issued by the Department of Disaster Management.
Visit the DDM website at www.bviddm.com and subscribe for updates, visit our Facebook page at www.facebook.com/bvi.ddm or follow us on Twitter at www.twitter.com/BVIDDM.
Disclaimer: The Department of Disaster Management (DDM) is not an official Meteorological Office. The Information disseminated by the Department is gathered from a number of professional sources used or contracted by the DDM to provide such information. This information is to be used as a guide by anyone who has interest in local weather conditions. By no means can the DDM or the BVI Government be held accountable by anyone who uses this information appropriately for legal evidence or in justification of any decision which may result in the loss of finances, property or life.
