October 10, 20052111Views

Please Note: Not a true image of Disturbance 2

Disturbance 2 is near 15N, 52W and is moving to
the west-northwest at 17 mph. A west-northwest motion is likely to continue for
the next 5 days. Enhanced showers and storms are possible for the northern
Leeward Islands by Sunday afternoon. The system will pass near or north of
Puerto Rico late Monday. Beyond that time, it may slow down and turn northward,
or it may continue moving west-northwestward toward the Bahamas. Some models
are showing some development in 4 to 7 days. Forecasters think Disturbance 2
has a 20 percent chance of developing within the next 7 days.

 Behind Disturbance 2 is a strong Tropical Wave
along 31W and is moving westward at 15 mph. This wave has a 20 percent chance
of developing into a tropical depression or tropical storm over the next 7
days. If it develops in 2-4 days in the central tropical Atlantic, then it
would likely turn northward well to the east of the Caribbean. However, if it
remains a weak disturbance, then it would have a chance to move farther west. At
this time this wave does not pose a threat to the Virgin Islands however
Residents should continue to monitor Disturbance 2 as it moves further east.

 The Department of Disaster Management (DDM) will
continue to monitor the weather conditions and provide updates accordingly.
Please visit the DDM’s website at and subscribe for updates.

The Department of Disaster Management (DDM) is not an official Meteorological
Office. The Information disseminated by the Department is gathered from a
number of professional sources used or contracted by the DDM to provide such
information. This information is to be used as a guide by anyone who has
interest in local weather conditions. By no means can the DDM or the BVI
Government be held accountable by anyone who uses this information
appropriately for legal evidence or in justification of any decision which may
result in the loss of finances, property or life.