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TS DORIAN DISORGANIZED, MOVING WEST NORTH WEST

TS DORIAN DISORGANIZED, MOVING WEST NORTH WEST

July 26, 2013647Views
Current Position: 17.7N/43.4W
Geographic Reference: 1295 miles E of the Northern Leeward Islands
Our Estimated Max Winds: 50 mph 
Movement: West-northwestward at 21 mph
Radius of Tropical Storm Force Winds: 60 miles
Minimum Central Pressure: 1006 Mb
At 11:00 a.m., the centre of Tropical Storm Dorian was located near Latitude 17.7 North and Longitude 43.4 West. Dorian is moving toward the west-northwest near 21 mph and a general westward at a slightly faster forward speed is expected over the next 48 hours.
Maximum sustained winds are near 50 mph with higher gusts.  Satellite imagery indicates that Dorian is not well organized and some weakening is forecast during the next day or so.
Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles from the centre.
The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006mb.
Dorian is expected to pass north of the Leeward Islands, Puerto Rico and Hispaniola on Monday and Tuesday. Tropical storm force winds are expected to remain north of these islands. The outer bands could spread some locally heavy rain as it passes to the north.
Expected Impacts Onshore
Northern Leeward Islands, Virgin Islands 
Rainfall: 3 to 6 inches of rain is possible Sunday through early Monday. These rains may cause localized flooding and mudslides.
Storm Surge: No surge expected as the centre should pass north of the islands.
The Department of Disaster Management is continuing to monitor the progress of Tropical Storm Dorian and will publish updates as they are made available.
Disclaimer: The Department of Disaster Management (DDM) is not an official Meteorological Office. The Information disseminated by the Department is gathered from a number of professional sources used or contracted by the DDM to provide such information. This information is to be used as a guide by anyone who has interest in local weather conditions. By no means can the DDM or the BVI Government be held accountable by anyone who uses this information appropriately for legal evidence or in justification of any decision which may result in the loss of finances, property or life.