A non-tropical low pressure area located about 600 miles north-east of The
Virgin Islands remains disorganized. Movement is to the west at 3-5 mph.
Satellite indicates that the low center is still being impacted by strong
westerly wind shear and forecasters expect this to continue over the next
several days. In addition, sea surface temperatures are a bit cool for tropical
development.
Though forecasters think it is unlikely that the low will develop into a
tropical cyclone, there remains a small chance that it could develop into a
subtropical storm with winds of 35-45 mph later today as wind temporarily
decreases a little. Thereafter, wind shear is forecast to increase considerably,
resulting in steady weakening on Friday and Saturday. Regardless of any such
development, the low center should continue tracking westward or a little south
of west through the coming weekend. It should reach the Bahamas on Sunday,
probably in a weakened form, where it is likely to result in increasing showers
and thunderstorms. Some of these showers may reach south and central Florida by
next Monday, though forecasters expect the low to be weakening or dissipating
by then.
As we approach the beginning of the 2011 Atlantic Hurricane Season, the DDM
is advising persons to make all necessary preparations. Also be sure to have
your emergency kits checked and all contingency plans revised.
Disclaimer: The Department of Disaster
Management (DDM) is not an official Meteorological Office. The Information
disseminated by the Department is gathered from a number of professional
sources used or contracted by the DDM to provide such information. This
information is to be used as a guide by anyone who has interest in local
weather conditions. By no means can the DDM or the BVI Government be held
accountable by anyone who uses this information appropriately for legal
evidence or in justification of any decision which may result in the loss of
finances, property or life.
